Climate Risk in Long Jetty, NSW
Long Jetty faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures to protect their properties.
Is Long Jetty Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Long Jetty, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Long Jetty
Flood
Long Jetty faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Tuggerah Lake. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Long Jetty is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but some areas near bushland reserves are still vulnerable. Hotter, drier conditions could increase the risk in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Long Jetty is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Long Jetty is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This could impact property values and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Long Jetty
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Long Jetty is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Long Jetty faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Tuggerah Lake. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Long Jetty is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This could impact property values and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Long Jetty is relatively low compared to other areas in NSW, but some areas near bushland reserves are still vulnerable. Hotter, drier conditions could increase the risk in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase in the future due to the increasing risk of flooding and coastal erosion.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decline in value as climate change impacts become more pronounced.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion
- 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential increases
- 4.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and cooling options
- 5.Understand the local council's climate adaptation plans
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Resilience
Near-termInstall flood barriers, elevate electrical systems, and implement landscaping to divert water away from buildings.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Home Cooling
ImmediateInstall energy-efficient air conditioning, improve insulation, and plant shade trees to reduce the urban heat island effect.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect Coastal Properties
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures such as seawalls, beach nourishment, and dune restoration to mitigate erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Emergency Plans
ImmediateCreate a household emergency plan and assemble an emergency kit to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Long Jetty's Climate Risk Profile
Long Jetty, a suburb on the Central Coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Its low-lying coastal location makes it particularly susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion as sea levels rise.
The risk of heatwaves is also increasing, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The combination of these factors necessitates proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.
Climate projections indicate that Long Jetty will experience more frequent and intense extreme weather events in the coming decades. This includes heavier rainfall, higher temperatures, and rising sea levels. These changes will exacerbate existing risks and create new challenges for the suburb.
Residents and property owners should take steps to prepare for these changes, such as investing in flood protection measures, improving home cooling, and understanding the risks associated with coastal erosion. The local council is also working to develop strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change and build a more resilient community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Long Jetty?
Long Jetty faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades.
How will sea level rise affect Long Jetty?
Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal inundation and erosion, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure along the coastline.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, elevating electrical systems, and improving drainage around your property.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Long Jetty?
Install air conditioning, improve insulation, and stay hydrated during hot weather. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
What is the local council doing to address climate change?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change and build a more resilient community.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Long Jetty, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections