Climate Risk Profile: Little Pelican, NSW
Little Pelican faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and flooding. The suburb's coastal location also makes it vulnerable to sea level rise. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Little Pelican Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Little Pelican, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Little Pelican
Flood
Little Pelican faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Lake Macquarie. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Little Pelican is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Little Pelican is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Little Pelican is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. This could lead to inundation of low-lying areas and damage to infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Little Pelican
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Little Pelican is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Little Pelican faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Lake Macquarie. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Inadequate drainage
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Little Pelican is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. This could lead to inundation of low-lying areas and damage to infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Little Pelican is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider sea level rise projections
- 4.Evaluate energy efficiency
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement coastal protection measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal protection measures to reduce the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn morePromote energy efficiency
Near-termEncourage residents to adopt energy-efficient practices to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and lower energy bills.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Little Pelican's Climate Risk Profile
Little Pelican, located in New South Wales, is projected to experience a range of climate change impacts over the coming decades. These include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased rainfall intensity leading to flooding, and rising sea levels threatening coastal areas.
The risk of flooding is a significant concern for Little Pelican, given its proximity to Lake Macquarie and low-lying topography. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, which could overwhelm existing drainage infrastructure and lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their properties.
Heatwaves are also projected to become more common and intense in Little Pelican. This poses a particular risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek out air-conditioned spaces, and check on neighbors during heatwaves.
Sea level rise is another significant threat to Little Pelican. As sea levels rise, low-lying coastal areas could become inundated, and coastal erosion could damage infrastructure and property. Long-term planning is needed to address the impacts of sea level rise.
Overall, Little Pelican faces a range of climate change challenges. By taking proactive steps to adapt to these changes, residents can help to protect their community and ensure a sustainable future.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Lake Macquarie City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Little Pelican?
The main climate change risks in Little Pelican are heatwaves, flooding, and sea level rise.
How will climate change affect property values in Little Pelican?
Climate change could lead to decreased property values in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or coastal erosion.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Little Pelican?
During heatwaves, it is important to stay hydrated, seek out air-conditioned spaces, and check on neighbors.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Little Pelican?
You can find information about flood risks on the Lake Macquarie City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Little Pelican?
Lake Macquarie City Council has a climate strategy that outlines its plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Little Pelican, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections