Climate Risk Assessment: Little Jilliby, NSW
Little Jilliby faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these potential impacts.
Is Little Jilliby Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Little Jilliby, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Little Jilliby
Flood
Little Jilliby faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Little Jilliby has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Little Jilliby is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Little Jilliby is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, but sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes in weather patterns.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Little Jilliby
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Little Jilliby is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Little Jilliby faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Little Jilliby is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, but sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes in weather patterns.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
Little Jilliby has a high bushfire risk due to its location surrounded by bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes.
- 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement community education programs and support residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreSustainable Land Use Planning
Long-termIncorporate climate change considerations into land use planning decisions to minimize future risks.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Little Jilliby's Climate Risk Profile
Little Jilliby, located in the Central Coast region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate change impacts. The primary risks are associated with increased flooding and bushfire activity.
Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which could lead to more frequent and severe flood events. Residents should be aware of local flood risks and take appropriate precautions.
Bushfire risk is also significant, as Little Jilliby is surrounded by bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Property owners should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and have a bushfire survival plan in place.
Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Residents should take steps to stay cool during hot weather and check on elderly or unwell neighbors.
While Little Jilliby is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes in weather patterns. It is important to monitor climate change projections and adapt to changing conditions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Little Jilliby?
The main climate change risks in Little Jilliby are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent heatwaves.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
You can prepare your property by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on elderly or unwell neighbors.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
You can find information about local flood risks on the Central Coast Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
How is the Central Coast Council addressing climate change?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections