Climate Risk Assessment: Lisarow, NSW
Lisarow faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Coastal risks are relatively low due to its inland location.
Is Lisarow Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lisarow, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lisarow
Flood
Lisarow faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The area around Lisarow has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Heat
Lisarow is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect may amplify these impacts.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Lisarow is not directly on the coast, so the coastal risk is low. However, sea level rise could affect low-lying areas further downstream.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lisarow
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Lisarow is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect may amplify these impacts.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urbanisation
flood Risk
Lisarow faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing creeks. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Sea level rise affecting drainage
coastal Risk
Lisarow is not directly on the coast, so the coastal risk is low. However, sea level rise could affect low-lying areas further downstream.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
bushfire Risk
The area around Lisarow has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on property value.
- 4.Review insurance coverage and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termPromote bushfire preparedness through community education programs and support for property owners to implement fire safety measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Emergency Response
Long-termStrengthen emergency response capabilities to effectively manage climate-related disasters, including improved communication and coordination.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Lisarow's Climate Risk Profile
Lisarow, located on the Central Coast of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are related to flooding, heatwaves, and bushfire risk. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.
Flooding is a significant concern for Lisarow, with potential for increased frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events. This can lead to overflowing creeks and localized flooding, impacting properties and infrastructure. Climate change projections indicate a higher likelihood of extreme rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.
Heatwaves are also a growing threat, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves can lead to heat stress and other health problems. The urban environment in Lisarow may amplify the effects of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.
Bushfire risk is another factor to consider, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during hot, dry conditions. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfires, making it essential to take appropriate precautions. While Lisarow is not directly on the coast, sea level rise could indirectly affect the area through impacts on downstream waterways and drainage systems.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Central Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Lisarow?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Lisarow?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also possible.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Central Coast Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to mitigate risks and adapt to the changing climate.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Lisarow?
You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Central Coast Council website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lisarow, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections