Climate Risk in Lilli Pilli, New South Wales

Lilli Pilli, New South Wales· Sutherland Shire· 2229
Updated May 2026

Lilli Pilli faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly flooding and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Lilli Pilli Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lilli Pilli, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lilli Pilli

Flood

Lilli Pilli faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Lilli Pilli has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry vegetation and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Lilli Pilli experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Lilli Pilli faces a moderate coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential for coastal erosion. This can impact waterfront properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lilli Pilli

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Lilli Pilli experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Lilli Pilli faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Lilli Pilli faces a moderate coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential for coastal erosion. This can impact waterfront properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

Lilli Pilli has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry vegetation and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
  • 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
  • 5.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to mitigate heat impacts.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire hazard reduction

Immediate

Implement regular bushfire hazard reduction programs to reduce the risk of bushfires spreading to residential areas.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Install solar panels and battery storage

Long-term

Encourage residents to install solar panels and battery storage to reduce reliance on the grid during heatwaves and power outages.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Coastal protection measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to protect waterfront properties from sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Community education programs

Near-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Lilli Pilli's Climate Risk Profile

Lilli Pilli, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related risks. Its proximity to waterways and bushland makes it vulnerable to flooding and bushfires, while rising temperatures and sea levels pose additional challenges.

Flooding is a significant concern for Lilli Pilli, with intense rainfall events capable of causing stormwater runoff and riverine flooding. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, further exacerbating this risk. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have a plan in place to protect their properties.

The suburb also faces a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Dry vegetation and strong winds can create conditions conducive to bushfires. It is important for residents to maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves are another concern for Lilli Pilli. This can impact vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and spending time in air-conditioned environments.

Finally, Lilli Pilli faces a moderate coastal risk due to sea level rise and potential for coastal erosion. This can impact waterfront properties and infrastructure. Residents should be aware of the risks and take steps to protect their properties.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Lilli Pilli?

Lilli Pilli faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to be exacerbated by climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding in Lilli Pilli?

You can prepare your property by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage. Check the Sutherland Shire Council flood maps for specific risk areas.

What should I do during a bushfire in Lilli Pilli?

During a bushfire, stay informed about the fire's location and intensity. Follow the advice of emergency services, and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Clear vegetation around your property to reduce fire risk.

How can I stay cool during a heatwave in Lilli Pilli?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Lilli Pilli?

The Sutherland Shire Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including improving stormwater drainage, promoting energy efficiency, and protecting coastal areas. Check their website for more details.

Will sea level rise affect property values in Lilli Pilli?

Potentially, yes. Properties closer to the coast may see a decrease in value as sea levels rise and erosion risks increase. It's important to consider long-term climate projections when buying property.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lilli Pilli, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections