Climate Risk Profile: Leonay, NSW
Leonay faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Leonay Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Leonay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Leonay
Flood
Leonay has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Nepean River and local creeks. Heavy rainfall events can cause these waterways to overflow, impacting low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
Bushfire
Leonay faces a moderate bushfire risk due to its location near bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires spreading to residential areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
Heat
Leonay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Leonay is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.
Key drivers:
- ·Inland location
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Leonay
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Leonay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Leonay has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Nepean River and local creeks. Heavy rainfall events can cause these waterways to overflow, impacting low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
coastal Risk
Leonay is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Inland location
bushfire Risk
Leonay faces a moderate bushfire risk due to its location near bushland areas. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires spreading to residential areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve flood defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance bushfire preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop heatwave response plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce the impact of droughts and water scarcity.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreUpgrade building codes
Long-termImplement stricter building codes to ensure new constructions are resilient to climate change impacts.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Leonay's Climate Risk Profile
Leonay, located in the Penrith region of New South Wales, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to the Nepean River and surrounding creeks makes it vulnerable to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of these rainfall events, potentially leading to more severe flooding in the future.
Bushfire risk is also a concern for Leonay, as the suburb is located near bushland areas. Drier conditions and higher temperatures, driven by climate change, can increase the likelihood of bushfires spreading to residential areas. Residents should be prepared for bushfire season and take steps to protect their properties.
Heatwaves are another significant threat to Leonay. As average temperatures rise, the suburb is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can pose a risk to vulnerable populations. It is important for residents to stay informed about heatwave warnings and take precautions to stay cool and hydrated.
While Leonay is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the impacts of climate change on other hazards should be taken seriously. By understanding the risks and taking appropriate adaptation measures, residents can help protect themselves and their properties from the effects of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Penrith City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Leonay?
The main climate risks in Leonay are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. The suburb is located near the Nepean River and bushland areas, making it vulnerable to these hazards.
How is climate change expected to impact Leonay?
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves in Leonay. This could lead to more damage to property and increased health risks for residents.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Leonay?
You can take steps to protect your property from flooding and bushfires, such as clearing vegetation and installing flood barriers. You can also prepare for heatwaves by staying informed about warnings and taking precautions to stay cool and hydrated.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Leonay?
You can find more information about climate change in Leonay on the Penrith City Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Is Leonay a good place to invest in property considering climate change?
While Leonay has many positive attributes, potential buyers should carefully consider the climate risks, particularly flooding and bushfire, and factor in potential insurance costs and mitigation measures.
What is Penrith Council doing to address climate change?
Penrith City Council has a climate strategy in place that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes initiatives to improve energy efficiency, promote sustainable transport, and manage natural resources.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections