Climate Risk in Lemington, NSW

Lemington, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Lemington faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding also poses a moderate threat. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Lemington Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lemington, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lemington

Flood

Lemington faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Lemington has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Decreased rainfall

Heat

Lemington is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Lemington is not located near the coast and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Key drivers:

  • ·N/A

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lemington

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Lemington is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Lemington faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Lemington is not located near the coast and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Primary Drivers

  • ·N/A
Data source

bushfire Risk

Lemington has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Decreased rainfall
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire risk assessment
  • 2.Review flood maps
  • 3.Assess home cooling options
  • 4.Consider insurance costs

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Bushfire Protection Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire protection measures, such as clearing vegetation around homes, installing fire shutters, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Home Cooling Improvements

Near-term

Improve home cooling through insulation, shading, and efficient air conditioning. Consider installing solar panels to reduce energy costs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Flood Emergency Plan

Immediate

Develop a flood emergency plan, including identifying evacuation routes, assembling an emergency kit, and signing up for flood warnings.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Heatwave Plan

Near-term

Establish a community heatwave plan to support vulnerable residents during extreme heat events. This could include setting up cooling centers and providing assistance to those who are isolated.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Lemington's Climate Risk Profile

Lemington is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The suburb's proximity to bushland makes it particularly susceptible to bushfires, which are expected to become more frequent and intense due to hotter, drier conditions.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with projections indicating a significant increase in the number of days exceeding extreme temperatures. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect may further exacerbate the impact of heatwaves in Lemington.

Flooding is another risk factor, with the potential for both riverine and flash flooding. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. Low-lying areas of Lemington are particularly vulnerable.

While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the overall climate risk profile of Lemington is high. Residents and property owners should take steps to prepare for the impacts of climate change, including implementing bushfire protection measures, improving home cooling, and developing flood emergency plans.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Lemington?

The main climate change risks in Lemington are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, installing fire shutters, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay cool, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.

How can I prepare for a flood?

You can prepare for a flood by developing a flood emergency plan, including identifying evacuation routes, assembling an emergency kit, and signing up for flood warnings.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Lemington?

You can find more information about climate change in Lemington on the local council website and the websites of state government agencies, such as the NSW Department of Planning and Environment.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lemington, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Lemington's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Lemington, NSW | ClimateNest