Climate Risk in Lawrence, NSW
Lawrence, NSW, faces a medium climate risk, primarily due to flooding and heatwaves. The risk is projected to increase in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Lawrence Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lawrence, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lawrence
Flood
Lawrence is located near the Clarence River and is susceptible to flooding, particularly during heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Lawrence has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Lawrence experiences hot summers, and the frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Lawrence is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lawrence
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Lawrence experiences hot summers, and the frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Lawrence is located near the Clarence River and is susceptible to flooding, particularly during heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Lawrence is located inland and has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Lawrence has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess property's elevation and drainage.
- 3.Inquire about council's flood mitigation plans.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
- 5.Consider heatwave preparedness measures.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in levees and drainage systems to reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Heatwave Preparedness
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide heatwave awareness programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to incorporate climate resilience measures.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termImplement community education programs on climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Lawrence's Climate Risk Profile
Lawrence, located in the Clarence Valley of New South Wales, is a suburb that faces increasing climate-related challenges. The primary risks are associated with flooding from the Clarence River and the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves.
The suburb's proximity to the Clarence River makes it vulnerable to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with projections indicating more intense rainfall events and potential sea level rise affecting riverine flooding.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Lawrence. As temperatures rise, the risk of heat stress and related health issues increases, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The impact of heatwaves can be amplified by the urban heat island effect.
While bushfire risk is present due to surrounding vegetation, it is not as significant as the flood and heatwave risks. However, residents should still be aware of bushfire safety measures and preparedness.
Adapting to these climate risks will require a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. This includes measures to reduce flood risk, improve heatwave preparedness, and enhance bushfire safety.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Clarence Valley Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Lawrence?
The main climate risks in Lawrence are flooding from the Clarence River and increasing heatwaves.
How is the council addressing flood risk?
The Clarence Valley Council is investing in flood mitigation measures and providing flood information to residents.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.
Are there any community initiatives to address climate change?
The Clarence Valley Council supports various community initiatives focused on sustainability and climate resilience.
Where can I find more information about climate projections for Lawrence?
Climate projections for Lawrence can be found on the CSIRO website and through the Clarence Valley Council's environmental reports.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lawrence, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections