Climate Risk Profile: Lankeys Creek, NSW

Lankeys Creek, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Lankeys Creek faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events. The suburb is not exposed to coastal risks.

Is Lankeys Creek Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lankeys Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lankeys Creek

Flood

Lankeys Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The area around Lankeys Creek has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Lankeys Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Lankeys Creek is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lankeys Creek

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Lankeys Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Lankeys Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Lankeys Creek is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Lankeys Creek has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Consider climate change risks in long-term investment decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Resilience Building

Long-term

Promote community-based initiatives to enhance resilience to climate change impacts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Lankeys Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Lankeys Creek, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this area are the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns and increasing temperatures are expected to exacerbate these hazards in the coming decades.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. More intense rainfall events can lead to increased flood risk, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure. Bushfire risk is also elevated due to the surrounding bushland, with drier conditions and higher temperatures creating a more conducive environment for fires.

Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heatwaves, creating urban heat islands.

While Lankeys Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, can still affect the community. Residents and property owners should take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Lankeys Creek?

The main climate change risks for Lankeys Creek are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Lankeys Creek?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increasing risks of flooding and bushfires.

What can residents do to prepare for increased heatwaves?

Residents can prepare by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the council doing to address climate change risks in Lankeys Creek?

The council is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate flood risk, manage bushfire hazards, and protect residents from heatwaves. Please refer to the council's website for more information.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Lankeys Creek?

You can find more information about flood risks on the NSW Government's flood maps website and through the local council.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lankeys Creek, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections