Climate Risk in Lakelands, NSW

Lakelands, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Lakelands faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal impacts. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in the coming decades. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Is Lakelands Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lakelands, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lakelands

Flood

Lakelands faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Lakelands has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Lakelands is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Lakelands may experience some coastal impacts due to sea level rise. This could include increased erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lakelands

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Lakelands is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Lakelands faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Lakelands may experience some coastal impacts due to sea level rise. This could include increased erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

bushfire Risk

Lakelands has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider heat mitigation measures
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement bushfire management plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Establish heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Create a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide advice on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, such as building seawalls and restoring mangroves.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Lakelands's Climate Risk Profile

Lakelands, NSW, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and potential coastal impacts due to sea level rise.

Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to increase the frequency and severity of flood events. This could lead to property damage and disruption to infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding vegetation posing a threat during hot, dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, potentially impacting homes and livelihoods.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these conditions, making it even hotter in built-up areas. Residents should take precautions to stay cool and hydrated during heatwaves.

Coastal impacts, such as erosion and inundation, are also a potential concern due to sea level rise. While Lakelands may not be directly on the coast, it could still experience indirect effects from coastal processes.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Lakelands?

The main climate risks in Lakelands are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and potential coastal impacts due to sea level rise.

How is climate change expected to impact Lakelands?

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as floods, bushfires, and heatwaves, in Lakelands.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in Lakelands?

You can take steps to reduce your risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, such as improving drainage around your property, maintaining fire breaks, and staying cool during heatwaves.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Lakelands?

You can find more information about climate change in Lakelands from the local council, the NSW government, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Is my property likely to be affected by climate change?

Properties in low-lying areas are more vulnerable to flooding, while properties near bushland are more vulnerable to bushfires. All residents are at risk from heatwaves.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lakelands, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections