Climate Risk Profile: Lake Tabourie, NSW
Lake Tabourie faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to bushfires, flooding, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to protect their properties.
Is Lake Tabourie Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lake Tabourie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lake Tabourie
Flood
Lake Tabourie is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and rising lake levels. The flat topography around the lake increases the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Rising lake levels
Bushfire
The suburb is surrounded by bushland, making it vulnerable to bushfires, especially during dry and windy conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
Heat
Lake Tabourie experiences moderate heatwaves during summer, which are projected to become more frequent and intense.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Located near the coast, Lake Tabourie is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise, which could impact low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lake Tabourie
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Lake Tabourie experiences moderate heatwaves during summer, which are projected to become more frequent and intense.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
flood Risk
Lake Tabourie is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and rising lake levels. The flat topography around the lake increases the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Rising lake levels
- ·Inadequate drainage
coastal Risk
Located near the coast, Lake Tabourie is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise, which could impact low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The suburb is surrounded by bushland, making it vulnerable to bushfires, especially during dry and windy conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
- ·More frequent heatwaves
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of climate-related disasters.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal hazards.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management plans
ImmediateDevelop and implement bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of property damage and loss of life.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop coastal management plans
Long-termDevelop and implement coastal management plans to address the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote heatwave preparedness
Near-termEducate residents about the risks of heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen building codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to climate change impacts, such as bushfires and floods.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Lake Tabourie's Climate Risk Profile
Lake Tabourie, a coastal suburb in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is prone to bushfires due to the surrounding bushland, and the risk is expected to worsen with drier conditions and more frequent heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern, particularly from heavy rainfall and rising lake levels, which can inundate low-lying areas.
Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surge, pose a threat to properties near the coast. Erosion is already impacting some areas, and the problem is likely to intensify in the future. Heatwaves are another growing concern, with average temperatures expected to rise and heat stress events becoming more common.
These climate change impacts could have significant consequences for the local community, including damage to property, disruption to infrastructure, and increased health risks. It is essential for residents to take proactive measures to adapt to these changes and reduce their vulnerability.
Local authorities are working to address these challenges through various adaptation strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and developing coastal management plans. However, individual action is also crucial to ensure the safety and resilience of the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Shoalhaven City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks facing Lake Tabourie?
Lake Tabourie is primarily at risk from bushfires, flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How will sea level rise affect Lake Tabourie?
Sea level rise could inundate low-lying coastal areas, damage infrastructure, and increase the risk of storm surge.
What can I do to protect my property from bushfires?
You can reduce your property's vulnerability to bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Lake Tabourie?
You can find information about flood risks on the Shoalhaven City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
How can I prepare for a heatwave in Lake Tabourie?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned buildings, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Is Lake Tabourie a good place to invest in property given climate change?
While Lake Tabourie is a desirable location, potential buyers should carefully consider the increasing climate risks and take appropriate adaptation measures. Consult with local experts and review available climate data before making a decision.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lake Tabourie, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections