Climate Risk Profile: Lake Conjola, NSW
Lake Conjola is a coastal town in NSW that faces significant climate risks, particularly from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are major concerns for the area. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Lake Conjola Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lake Conjola, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lake Conjola
Flood
Lake Conjola is at high risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Lake Conjola and the ocean. Intense rainfall events can cause the lake to overflow, inundating surrounding areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
Bushfire
Lake Conjola faces a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires spreading to the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Lake Conjola is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Lake Conjola is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This can damage property and infrastructure, and displace residents.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lake Conjola
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Lake Conjola is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Lake Conjola is at high risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal location and proximity to Lake Conjola and the ocean. Intense rainfall events can cause the lake to overflow, inundating surrounding areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Storm surges
coastal Risk
Lake Conjola is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. This can damage property and infrastructure, and displace residents.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Lake Conjola faces a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires spreading to the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's elevation and proximity to waterways and bushland.
- 3.Obtain a building inspection report to identify any existing damage from past events.
- 4.Inquire about the availability and cost of insurance.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve flood defenses
Near-termConstruct seawalls and levees to protect low-lying areas from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
ImmediateReduce fuel loads in surrounding bushland and improve building codes for fire resistance.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRelocate vulnerable infrastructure
Long-termMove critical infrastructure away from areas at high risk of coastal erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
ImmediateEducate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Lake Conjola's Climate Risk Profile
Lake Conjola is a picturesque coastal town located in the Shoalhaven region of New South Wales. The town is situated on the shores of Lake Conjola, a large coastal lake that is connected to the ocean. The area is popular for fishing, boating, and swimming. However, Lake Conjola is also vulnerable to a range of climate change impacts, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
Flooding is a major concern for Lake Conjola due to its low-lying coastal location. Intense rainfall events can cause the lake to overflow, inundating surrounding areas. Sea level rise is also expected to exacerbate the risk of flooding in the future. The NSW SES is the lead agency for flood response.
Bushfires are another significant threat to Lake Conjola. The town is surrounded by bushland, which can provide fuel for fires. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires spreading to the suburb. The NSW RFS is responsible for bushfire management.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Lake Conjola. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and spending time in air-conditioned environments.
Coastal erosion is also a concern for Lake Conjola. Sea level rise is expected to increase the rate of coastal erosion, which can damage property and infrastructure. The NSW Department of Planning and Environment is responsible for coastal management.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Shoalhaven City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Lake Conjola?
Lake Conjola faces significant risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are major concerns.
How will sea level rise affect Lake Conjola?
Sea level rise is expected to increase the risk of coastal erosion and inundation in Lake Conjola, potentially damaging property and infrastructure.
What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Lake Conjola?
You can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Lake Conjola?
You can find information about flood risks on the Shoalhaven City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Lake Conjola?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.
Is my property in Lake Conjola at risk from climate change?
Properties close to the lake and in low-lying areas are at higher risk from flooding and coastal erosion. Properties near bushland are at higher risk from bushfires.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Lake Conjola, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections