Climate Risk in La Perouse, New South Wales

La Perouse, New South Wales· Randwick· 2036
Updated May 2026

La Perouse faces moderate climate risks, primarily from heat, flooding, and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and sea levels pose significant challenges to the suburb's infrastructure and community.

Is La Perouse Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for La Perouse, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for La Perouse

Flood

La Perouse faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal areas and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in La Perouse is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, nearby national parks pose a potential threat during dry periods with strong winds.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation

Heat

La Perouse experiences a high heat risk, particularly during summer months. Urban areas retain heat, leading to elevated temperatures and potential heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Rising average temperatures

Coastal

La Perouse is exposed to coastal risks, including sea level rise and erosion. Low-lying areas are vulnerable to inundation during storm surges, and coastal infrastructure may be at risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for La Perouse

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

La Perouse experiences a high heat risk, particularly during summer months. Urban areas retain heat, leading to elevated temperatures and potential heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

La Perouse faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying coastal areas and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

La Perouse is exposed to coastal risks, including sea level rise and erosion. Low-lying areas are vulnerable to inundation during storm surges, and coastal infrastructure may be at risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in La Perouse is relatively low due to its coastal location and limited vegetation. However, nearby national parks pose a potential threat during dry periods with strong winds.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone or coastal erosion zones may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion zones.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning systems

Immediate

Develop and implement heatwave early warning systems to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems

Long-term

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems, such as mangroves and dunes, to provide natural buffers against erosion and storm surges.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water-sensitive urban design

Near-term

Encourage the use of water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About La Perouse's Climate Risk Profile

La Perouse, a coastal suburb in Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include increased heatwaves, flooding from intense rainfall and sea level rise, and coastal erosion. These hazards pose a threat to the local community, infrastructure, and natural environment.

The risk of flooding is exacerbated by the suburb's low-lying areas and proximity to the coast. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm stormwater systems, leading to inundation of properties and disruption of services. Sea level rise further increases the risk of coastal flooding, particularly during storm surges.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The urban heat island effect further amplifies temperatures in built-up areas.

Coastal erosion is another concern, threatening beaches, infrastructure, and natural habitats. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity contribute to erosion, potentially impacting property values and recreational amenities.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in infrastructure upgrades, implementation of adaptation measures, and community engagement to raise awareness and build resilience.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in La Perouse?

The main climate change risks in La Perouse are increased heatwaves, flooding from intense rainfall and sea level rise, and coastal erosion.

How will sea level rise affect La Perouse?

Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal flooding and erosion, potentially impacting low-lying areas, infrastructure, and property values.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Randwick City Council has a climate strategy in place that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in La Perouse?

During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in La Perouse?

You can find information about flood risks on the Randwick City Council website, including flood maps and guidance on preparing for floods.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in La Perouse, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections