Climate Risk in Kundabung, NSW

Kundabung, New South Wales· Kempsey· 2441
Updated May 2026

Kundabung faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Kundabung Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kundabung, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kundabung

Flood

Kundabung faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hastings River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Kundabung has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Kundabung is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Kundabung is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, but sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes in riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kundabung

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Kundabung is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Kundabung faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hastings River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding
Data source

coastal Risk

Kundabung is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, but sea level rise may indirectly affect the region through changes in riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
Data source

bushfire Risk

Kundabung has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
  • 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing measures to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Develop a heatwave response plan, establish cooling centers, and provide education on heat safety.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Bushfire Resilience

Near-term

Implement bushfire hazard reduction programs, improve building codes, and provide community education on bushfire safety.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Sustainable Land Management

Long-term

Encourage sustainable agricultural practices, protect natural vegetation, and manage water resources effectively.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Infrastructure

Long-term

Ensure that critical infrastructure, such as power grids and transportation networks, are resilient to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Kundabung's Climate Risk Profile

Kundabung, located in the Mid North Coast region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to several climate change impacts. The primary risks are associated with increased flooding due to its proximity to the Hastings River and the projected increase in rainfall intensity. Higher temperatures and more frequent heatwaves also pose a significant threat to the community.

The risk of flooding is expected to increase as climate change leads to more intense rainfall events. This can result in damage to property, infrastructure, and agricultural land. The community should be prepared for potential disruptions to daily life and the need for evacuation during severe flood events.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will place additional stress on vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Infrastructure, including power grids and transportation networks, may also be affected by extreme heat.

While Kundabung is not directly on the coast, sea level rise can indirectly impact the region by increasing the risk of riverine flooding. Changes in storm patterns may also contribute to increased erosion and damage to waterways.

Adapting to these climate change impacts will require a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing measures to reduce flood risk, improve heatwave preparedness, and promote sustainable land management practices will be crucial for building a more resilient community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Kundabung?

Kundabung is primarily at risk from increased flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern.

How will climate change affect property values in Kundabung?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Kempsey Shire Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to reduce the risks from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires.

How can I prepare my home for flooding?

Consider flood-proofing measures, such as raising the floor level, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain a firebreak, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kundabung, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections