Climate Risk in Koonawarra, NSW

Koonawarra, New South Wales· City of Wollongong· 2502
Updated May 2026

Koonawarra is a suburb in the City of Wollongong, NSW, that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding from Lake Illawarra and creeks, increasing heatwaves, and potential coastal impacts from sea level rise. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Koonawarra Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Koonawarra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Koonawarra

Flood

Koonawarra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Illawarra and several creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Koonawarra is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Heat

Koonawarra is experiencing an increasing number of hot days and heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Koonawarra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to Lake Illawarra. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Koonawarra

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Koonawarra is experiencing an increasing number of hot days and heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Koonawarra faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Illawarra and several creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff exceeding drainage capacity.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces
Data source

coastal Risk

Koonawarra faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to Lake Illawarra. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Koonawarra is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land maps.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Obtain a building inspection report.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to increase capacity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Prepare your property for bushfire season by clearing gutters, trimming trees, and creating a firebreak.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Koonawarra's Climate Risk Profile

Koonawarra, located in the City of Wollongong, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. Its proximity to Lake Illawarra and several waterways makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with more intense rainfall events predicted for the region.

The suburb also faces increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. Rising temperatures pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban environment can further amplify the heat island effect, making conditions even more challenging.

Coastal hazards are another concern for Koonawarra. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation of low-lying areas and increased erosion along the lake foreshore. Planning and adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate these risks and protect coastal assets.

Bushfire risk is present, especially in areas bordering bushland. While not as severe as other hazards, residents should remain vigilant and prepared for potential fire threats, particularly during dry periods. Implementing appropriate fire safety measures and maintaining vegetation around properties can help reduce the risk of fire damage.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Koonawarra?

The main climate change risks in Koonawarra are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards.

How will climate change affect property values in Koonawarra?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased climate risks.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Koonawarra?

The City of Wollongong is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including upgrading stormwater drainage, developing a heatwave early warning system, and protecting coastal areas.

How can I prepare my home for a flood in Koonawarra?

You can prepare your home for a flood by raising electrical outlets, installing flood barriers, and having an emergency plan.

What should I do during a heatwave in Koonawarra?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned buildings, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Koonawarra, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Koonawarra, NSW | ClimateNest