Climate Risk in Kogarah, NSW
Kogarah faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. The risk is projected to increase in the future due to climate change impacts.
Is Kogarah Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kogarah, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kogarah
Flood
Kogarah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Kogarah is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry conditions
- ·Strong winds
Heat
Kogarah experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect and increasing temperatures are contributing factors.
Key drivers:
- ·Increasing temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Kogarah faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the Georges River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges are the primary concerns.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kogarah
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kogarah experiences a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Urban heat island effect and increasing temperatures are contributing factors.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increasing temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced green space
flood Risk
Kogarah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Kogarah faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the Georges River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges are the primary concerns.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Kogarah is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry conditions
- ·Strong winds
- ·Vegetation management
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's elevation and drainage.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreIncrease Green Space
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Coastal Protection Measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heat Action Plan
ImmediateCreate a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreRaise Awareness of Flood Risks
ImmediateEducate residents about flood risks and preparedness measures, including evacuation routes and emergency kits.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Kogarah's Climate Risk Profile
Kogarah, located in the southern suburbs of Sydney, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to the Georges River makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, further exacerbating the flood risk.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Kogarah residents. The urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, resulting in higher temperatures compared to surrounding areas. As global temperatures continue to rise, heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and severe, posing a threat to public health.
Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a risk to Kogarah. The Georges River estuary is susceptible to inundation during high tides and storm events. Rising sea levels will increase the frequency and extent of coastal flooding, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to slowing down the rate of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, and implementing coastal protection measures, can help to reduce the impacts of climate change on Kogarah.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Georges River Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Kogarah?
Kogarah is primarily at risk from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to its location near the Georges River and its urban environment.
How is climate change expected to impact Kogarah in the future?
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as floods, heatwaves, and storm surges, posing a greater risk to Kogarah residents and infrastructure.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Kogarah?
The Georges River Council is implementing various measures to mitigate and adapt to climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, increasing green space, and developing a heat action plan.
How can I prepare for a flood in Kogarah?
You can prepare for a flood by checking flood maps, assessing your property's elevation, creating an emergency kit, and knowing your evacuation route.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Kogarah?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Kogarah on the Georges River Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Are there any specific areas in Kogarah that are more prone to flooding?
Yes, low-lying areas near the Georges River are particularly prone to flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kogarah, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections