Climate Risk in Kirrawee, NSW

Kirrawee, New South Wales· Sutherland Shire· 2232
Updated May 2026

Kirrawee is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these potential impacts.

Is Kirrawee Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kirrawee, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kirrawee

Flood

Kirrawee faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Kirrawee has a high bushfire risk due to its location near bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Kirrawee experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Kirrawee faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and storm surges, although it is not directly on the coast. Impacts may include increased flooding in low-lying areas and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kirrawee

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Kirrawee experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Kirrawee faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Kirrawee faces a moderate coastal risk due to potential sea level rise and storm surges, although it is not directly on the coast. Impacts may include increased flooding in low-lying areas and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Climate change
Data source

bushfire Risk

Kirrawee has a high bushfire risk due to its location near bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase in the future due to the increasing risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Immediate

Implement vegetation management programs and promote fire-resistant landscaping to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Develop a heatwave management plan and provide cooling centers for vulnerable residents.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Protection Measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Raise awareness about climate change risks and adaptation measures through community education programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Kirrawee's Climate Risk Profile

Kirrawee, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to waterways, and intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding. The risk of bushfires is also significant, as the suburb is surrounded by bushland areas that can become highly flammable during hot, dry conditions.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a threat to the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. While Kirrawee is not directly on the coast, it is still exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges, which can cause flooding and erosion in low-lying areas.

Climate change is expected to worsen these risks in the coming years. Increased rainfall intensity will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Hotter, drier conditions will increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires. Sea level rise will exacerbate coastal hazards, potentially impacting infrastructure and property values.

It is essential for residents of Kirrawee to take steps to prepare for these potential impacts. This includes developing emergency plans, maintaining their properties to reduce fire risk, and staying informed about weather conditions and potential hazards. Local authorities are also working to implement adaptation measures to protect the community from the effects of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Kirrawee?

Kirrawee faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are expected to be exacerbated by climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Kirrawee?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value as climate risks become more apparent. It's important to assess a property's vulnerability before purchasing.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Kirrawee?

Sutherland Shire Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to protect the community from the effects of climate change, including flood mitigation and bushfire prevention measures.

How can I prepare my home for flooding in Kirrawee?

You can prepare your home by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage around your property. Check the council's flood maps to understand your property's risk.

What should I do during a bushfire in Kirrawee?

During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your property by clearing vegetation and having a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about emergency services during a climate event?

You can find information about emergency services on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kirrawee, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Kirrawee, NSW | ClimateNest