Climate Risk in Kingsford, NSW
Kingsford is a suburb in Sydney facing increasing climate risks, particularly from heat and flooding. While bushfire risk is relatively low, coastal risks are present. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Kingsford Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kingsford, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kingsford
Flood
Kingsford faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Kingsford has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from significant bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to green spaces
- ·Wind patterns
Heat
Kingsford experiences a high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. Urban density contributes to the urban heat island effect, exacerbating the impact on residents.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Kingsford faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to low-lying areas and coastal infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kingsford
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kingsford experiences a high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. Urban density contributes to the urban heat island effect, exacerbating the impact on residents.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced green cover
flood Risk
Kingsford faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
Kingsford faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to low-lying areas and coastal infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Kingsford has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from significant bushland areas. However, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to green spaces
- ·Wind patterns
- ·Fuel load in surrounding areas
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and storm risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise.
- 4.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and expand drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreIncrease Green Cover
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heat Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Coastal Defenses
Long-termMaintain and upgrade coastal defenses, such as seawalls and dunes, to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Kingsford's Climate Risk Profile
Kingsford, located in the eastern suburbs of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect exacerbates these risks, making Kingsford hotter than surrounding areas.
Flooding is another major concern for Kingsford. Heavy rainfall events can overwhelm the existing drainage infrastructure, leading to localized flooding and property damage. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of these rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.
While the risk of bushfires is relatively low due to the suburb's urban nature, ember attacks from distant fires remain a potential hazard. Coastal risks, including sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to low-lying areas and coastal infrastructure in Kingsford.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in green infrastructure, improved drainage systems, and community awareness programs. Residents should also take steps to prepare for extreme weather events and protect their properties.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Randwick City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Kingsford?
The main climate change risks in Kingsford are increasing heatwaves, flooding from heavy rainfall, and potential coastal impacts from sea level rise and storm surges.
How is Randwick Council addressing climate change?
Randwick Council has a climate strategy focused on reducing emissions, increasing resilience to climate impacts, and engaging the community in climate action.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Kingsford?
During heatwaves, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, avoid strenuous activity, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I protect my property from flooding in Kingsford?
Consider installing flood barriers, raising electrical appliances, and ensuring proper drainage around your property. Check your insurance policy for flood coverage.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Kingsford?
You can find more information on the Randwick City Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO climate change website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kingsford, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections