Climate Risk Profile: Keri Keri, NSW

Keri Keri, New South Wales· Unincorporated Far West
Updated May 2026

Keri Keri faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events. Residents should prepare for potential disruptions and take steps to mitigate these risks.

Is Keri Keri Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Keri Keri, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Keri Keri

Flood

Keri Keri faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The flat terrain and limited drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure

Bushfire

The area surrounding Keri Keri is susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. The presence of dry vegetation increases the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Keri Keri experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this issue.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Keri Keri is located inland and does not face significant coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Keri Keri

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Keri Keri experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heat stress for vulnerable populations. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this issue.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Climate change
Data source

flood Risk

Keri Keri faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The flat terrain and limited drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Keri Keri is located inland and does not face significant coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area surrounding Keri Keri is susceptible to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. The presence of dry vegetation increases the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased risk awareness.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance availability.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider heatwave preparedness.
  • 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Keri Keri's Climate Risk Profile

Keri Keri, located in the Far West region of New South Wales, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to heavy rainfall, bushfires during dry seasons, and heatwaves in summer.

Flooding is a concern due to the flat terrain and limited drainage infrastructure. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm the existing systems, leading to localized flooding. Bushfires pose a significant threat, especially during periods of drought and high temperatures. The surrounding vegetation provides ample fuel for fires to spread rapidly.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, impacting the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The lack of coastal influence means that Keri Keri does not benefit from moderating sea breezes.

Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks, with increased rainfall intensity, higher temperatures, and prolonged dry periods. This will require proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and infrastructure.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Keri Keri?

The main climate risks include flooding from heavy rainfall, bushfires during dry periods, and heatwaves in summer.

How is climate change expected to impact Keri Keri?

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including floods, bushfires, and heatwaves.

What can residents do to prepare for climate risks?

Residents can take steps to prepare for climate risks by improving drainage around their homes, maintaining fire breaks, and developing a heatwave preparedness plan.

Are there any local government initiatives to address climate change?

As an unincorporated area, specific local government initiatives are limited. Residents should rely on state government resources and emergency services.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Keri Keri?

You can find more information about climate risks from the NSW State Emergency Service, the NSW Rural Fire Service, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Keri Keri, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Keri Keri's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Keri Keri, NSW | ClimateNest