Climate Risk Profile: Kembla Grange, NSW

Kembla Grange, New South Wales· City of Wollongong· 2526
Updated May 2026

Kembla Grange faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern. Climate change is projected to increase the severity of these hazards, particularly flooding and heatwaves. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Kembla Grange Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kembla Grange, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kembla Grange

Flood

Kembla Grange faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Kembla Grange has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Kembla Grange is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Kembla Grange is located inland and has a low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kembla Grange

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Kembla Grange is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Kembla Grange faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Kembla Grange is located inland and has a low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Kembla Grange has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation and creating a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the impact of droughts and water shortages.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Kembla Grange's Climate Risk Profile

Kembla Grange, located in the Illawarra region of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves resulting from rising average temperatures. Bushfire risk is also present due to the surrounding bushland.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. The local council is working to improve drainage infrastructure, but further action is needed to mitigate the risk.

Heatwaves are also a growing threat, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate the impact of heatwaves in built-up areas.

Bushfire risk is present due to the proximity of bushland. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Kembla Grange?

The main climate change risks for Kembla Grange are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Kembla Grange?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums may also affect property values.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Kembla Grange?

The City of Wollongong is implementing a range of strategies to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure and promoting water conservation.

How can I prepare my home for a flood in Kembla Grange?

You can prepare your home for a flood by raising electrical outlets, storing valuables above flood level, and having an evacuation plan.

What should I do during a heatwave in Kembla Grange?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

Where can I find information about bushfire safety in Kembla Grange?

Information about bushfire safety can be found on the NSW Rural Fire Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kembla Grange, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Kembla Grange, NSW | ClimateNest