Climate Risk Profile: Kelvin, NSW
Kelvin faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a consideration. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Kelvin Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kelvin, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kelvin
Flood
Flooding is a notable concern in Kelvin, particularly due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Kelvin is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Kelvin experiences increasingly frequent and intense heatwaves. High temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risk is low in Kelvin due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kelvin
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kelvin experiences increasingly frequent and intense heatwaves. High temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Flooding is a notable concern in Kelvin, particularly due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Coastal risk is low in Kelvin due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Kelvin is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider heatwave resilience
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood barriers and drainage systems to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Heatwave Preparedness
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers and provide public education on heatwave safety.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement vegetation management programs and improve building standards in bushfire-prone areas.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termConduct workshops and distribute information on climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Kelvin's Climate Risk Profile
Kelvin is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from intense rainfall, heatwaves during the summer months, and a moderate risk of bushfires.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.
Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing health risks, especially for the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can exacerbate these risks. It's important to stay hydrated and seek cool environments during heatwaves.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
While coastal risks are low due to Kelvin's inland location, the overall impact of climate change requires proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Singleton Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Kelvin?
The main climate risks in Kelvin are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways, while heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense. Bushfire risk is moderate in some areas.
How can I prepare for flooding in Kelvin?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. Consider installing flood barriers if your property is at high risk.
What should I do during a heatwave in Kelvin?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek cool environments, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members. Cooling centers may be available in the community.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Kelvin?
Protect your property by maintaining vegetation, clearing gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan. Ensure your property is adequately insured.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Kelvin?
You can find more information on the local council website, the NSW government's climate change website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Get your property's risk report
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections