Climate Risk in Kelso, NSW
Kelso, NSW, faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing bushfire risk. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these hazards, particularly increasing the intensity of heatwaves and rainfall events. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Kelso Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kelso
Flood
Kelso faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
Kelso has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to lengthen the bushfire season and increase fire intensity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Kelso experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Kelso is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kelso
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kelso experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced rainfall
flood Risk
Kelso faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Kelso is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
Kelso has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to lengthen the bushfire season and increase fire intensity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Home Insulation
Near-termImprove home insulation to reduce energy consumption and maintain comfortable indoor temperatures during heatwaves and cold snaps.
Est. cost: $5,000 - $10,000
Learn moreDevelop a Flood Emergency Plan
ImmediateDevelop a flood emergency plan and ensure that all household members are aware of the plan. Prepare an emergency kit with essential supplies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreMaintain Bushfire Defensible Space
Near-termMaintain a bushfire defensible space around your property by clearing vegetation and removing flammable materials.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInstall Water Tanks
Long-termInstall water tanks to collect rainwater for non-potable uses such as gardening and toilet flushing. This can help reduce water consumption during droughts.
Est. cost: $3,000 - $8,000
Learn moreSupport Community Resilience Initiatives
Long-termParticipate in community resilience initiatives such as tree planting programs and community gardens. These initiatives can help build social cohesion and improve the local environment.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Kelso's Climate Risk Profile
Kelso, located in the Bathurst region of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to the Macquarie River makes it vulnerable to flooding, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity due to climate change. The risk of bushfires is also present due to surrounding bushland, with hotter and drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fire events.
Heatwaves pose a significant threat to Kelso, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase, placing additional strain on emergency services and healthcare infrastructure. While Kelso is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the suburb.
Understanding these risks is crucial for residents and property owners in Kelso. Taking proactive measures to adapt to climate change, such as improving home insulation, developing emergency plans, and supporting community resilience initiatives, can help mitigate the potential impacts. Staying informed about weather forecasts and emergency warnings is also essential for ensuring personal safety.
The Bathurst Regional Council is responsible for implementing climate change adaptation strategies at the local level. Residents can engage with the council to advocate for policies and programs that address climate risks and promote sustainable development. By working together, the community can build a more resilient and sustainable future for Kelso.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Bathurst Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Kelso?
The main climate change risks in Kelso are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare my home for a flood in Kelso?
You can prepare your home for a flood by developing a flood emergency plan, raising electrical appliances, and storing valuables in a safe place. You should also consider installing flood barriers.
What should I do during a heatwave in Kelso?
During a heatwave, you should stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk in Kelso?
You can reduce your bushfire risk by maintaining a bushfire defensible space around your property, clearing vegetation, and removing flammable materials. You should also have a bushfire survival plan.
What is the Bathurst Regional Council doing to address climate change?
The Bathurst Regional Council is implementing a range of climate change adaptation strategies, including improving flood management, promoting energy efficiency, and supporting community resilience initiatives. Check their website for details.
Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Kelso?
You can find more information about climate change projections for Kelso on the CSIRO website or the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Kelso, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections