Climate Risk Profile: Keerrong, NSW

Keerrong, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Keerrong is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and bushfires. The suburb's inland location mitigates coastal risks, but increasing temperatures and heatwaves pose a growing concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Keerrong Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Keerrong, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Keerrong

Flood

Keerrong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Local waterways and inadequate drainage contribute to potential flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Keerrong is high due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Dry vegetation and strong winds can exacerbate fire hazards.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Keerrong experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and heatwave events. Vulnerable populations may be affected by extreme heat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Keerrong has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Keerrong

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Keerrong experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and heatwave events. Vulnerable populations may be affected by extreme heat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Keerrong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Local waterways and inadequate drainage contribute to potential flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Keerrong has a low coastal risk due to its inland location. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Keerrong is high due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Dry vegetation and strong winds can exacerbate fire hazards.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade and expand drainage systems to manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Mitigation Strategies

Immediate

Conduct regular vegetation management, establish firebreaks, and promote community awareness about bushfire safety.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Preparedness Plans

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide public health advice, and ensure access to water during heatwave events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Emergency Response Capabilities

Long-term

Strengthen emergency services, improve communication systems, and conduct regular drills to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Keerrong's Climate Risk Profile

Keerrong, NSW, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfires, driven by changing weather patterns and environmental conditions.

Flooding is a significant threat due to increased rainfall intensity and potential overflow from local waterways. Inadequate drainage infrastructure exacerbates the risk, making the suburb more vulnerable to flood damage. Residents should stay informed about flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

Bushfire risk is also high, with dry vegetation and strong winds creating favorable conditions for fires to spread. The proximity of bushland further increases the risk, requiring residents to maintain their properties and adhere to fire safety guidelines.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. Rising average temperatures contribute to heat stress, particularly during summer months. It is essential to stay hydrated and seek cooler environments during extreme heat events.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Keerrong's inland location, the overall climate risk profile suggests the need for proactive adaptation measures. These include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire mitigation strategies, and promoting heatwave preparedness.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Keerrong?

Keerrong is primarily at risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

Ensure your property has adequate drainage, clear gutters and downpipes, and consider installing flood barriers if necessary. Stay informed about flood warnings and have an evacuation plan.

What should I do during a bushfire?

Follow the advice of the Rural Fire Service (RFS). If your property is threatened, evacuate early. If you are unable to leave, shelter in place and protect yourself from smoke and heat.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek cooler environments, and avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate risks in Keerrong?

Consult the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), the Rural Fire Service (RFS), and the State Emergency Service (SES) websites for the latest information and advice.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Keerrong, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections