Climate Risk Profile: Kareela, NSW
Kareela faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to the suburb's proximity to bushland. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Kareela Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kareela, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Kareela
Flood
Kareela faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and potential riverine overflow. Properties close to creeks and low-lying areas are most vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
Bushfire
Kareela has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Heat
Kareela is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Kareela has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not major concerns for this suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Kareela
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Kareela is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Kareela faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and potential riverine overflow. Properties close to creeks and low-lying areas are most vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development increasing runoff
coastal Risk
Kareela has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not major concerns for this suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Kareela has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain a building inspection report.
- 4.Review insurance options and costs.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood-proofing measures for vulnerable properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateMaintain properties to reduce bushfire risk and develop a bushfire survival plan.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a community heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Management Strategy
Long-termImplement a long-term coastal management strategy to address potential sea level rise and coastal erosion impacts.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Kareela's Climate Risk Profile
Kareela, located in the Sutherland Shire, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. Flooding is a primary concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. Properties in low-lying areas and near waterways are particularly vulnerable.
Bushfire risk is also present due to the suburb's proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions, exacerbated by climate change, can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas. It is important to stay hydrated and seek cool environments during heatwaves.
While coastal risks are relatively low, sea level rise and coastal erosion could still pose a threat in the long term. Planning for these potential impacts is essential to ensure the suburb's resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Sutherland Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Kareela?
The main climate risks in Kareela are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Sea level rise poses a lower risk.
How can I prepare for a flood in Kareela?
Check flood maps, elevate appliances, and have an evacuation plan.
What should I do during a heatwave in Kareela?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Is my property in Kareela at risk from bushfires?
Check the NSW Rural Fire Service website to see if your property is in a bushfire prone area and follow their guidelines.
Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Kareela?
Consult the Sutherland Shire Council website and the NSW Department of Planning and Environment.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections