Climate Risk Assessment: Jones Island, NSW
Jones Island faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change. Sea level rise and more intense rainfall events are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Jones Island Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Jones Island, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jones Island
Flood
Jones Island is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise are expected to exacerbate flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk is relatively low due to the island's limited vegetation and surrounding waterways acting as natural firebreaks. However, drier conditions could increase the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased temperatures
Heat
Jones Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As an island, Jones Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation from sea level rise and storm surges. This could impact infrastructure and property.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jones Island
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Jones Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Jones Island is susceptible to flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise are expected to exacerbate flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
As an island, Jones Island is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation from sea level rise and storm surges. This could impact infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk is relatively low due to the island's limited vegetation and surrounding waterways acting as natural firebreaks. However, drier conditions could increase the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to rising climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increased flood and coastal erosion risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess coastal erosion risk.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade flood defenses
Near-termInvest in seawalls and drainage systems to protect against rising sea levels and increased rainfall.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreRelocate critical infrastructure
Long-termMove essential services and infrastructure away from areas at high risk of flooding and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn morePromote water conservation
Near-termEncourage residents and businesses to reduce water consumption to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Jones Island's Climate Risk Profile
Jones Island, located in New South Wales, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Its low-lying geography makes it susceptible to flooding from increased rainfall and rising sea levels. The island is also expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing risks to public health and infrastructure.
Coastal erosion is another significant concern for Jones Island. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to the loss of land and damage to coastal properties. The combined effects of these climate hazards could have significant economic and social consequences for the island's residents.
While bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other areas, drier conditions could still increase the potential for fires. It is important for residents to maintain awareness and preparedness for all types of extreme weather events.
Adapting to these changes will require a combination of strategies, including infrastructure improvements, community education, and individual preparedness measures. By taking proactive steps, Jones Island can mitigate the risks and build resilience to the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
MidCoast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Jones Island?
The main risks are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events.
How will climate change affect property values on Jones Island?
Increased flood and coastal erosion risks may negatively impact property values in vulnerable areas.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find information about flood risks in my area?
You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the MidCoast Council website.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including infrastructure upgrades and community education programs.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Jones Island, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections