Climate Risk in Jerseyville, New South Wales

Jerseyville, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Jerseyville faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and potential bushfire risks also contribute to the overall vulnerability of the suburb. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Jerseyville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Jerseyville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jerseyville

Flood

Jerseyville is located near the Macleay River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Jerseyville has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. The risk is moderate but can increase during dry periods and heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures

Heat

Jerseyville experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Jerseyville is located near the coast and is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise. This can impact infrastructure and property values.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jerseyville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Jerseyville experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Vulnerable populations are at higher risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Jerseyville is located near the Macleay River and is susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Jerseyville is located near the coast and is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise. This can impact infrastructure and property values.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Jerseyville has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. The risk is moderate but can increase during dry periods and heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and have a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 4.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Immediate

Invest in infrastructure improvements to protect against flooding, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-proofing buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Near-term

Implement measures to protect against coastal erosion, such as seawalls, beach nourishment, and dune restoration.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Develop a heatwave response plan, including cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and support for vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Reduce Bushfire Risk

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management, fire breaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve Emergency Response

Immediate

Enhance emergency response capabilities to deal with extreme weather events, including flood rescue, bushfire suppression, and heatwave response.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Jerseyville's Climate Risk Profile

Jerseyville, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the Macleay River and the coast makes it particularly susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion. Rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk is also a concern, especially during dry periods and heatwaves. While not as immediate as flood or coastal threats, the potential for bushfires to impact the area should not be underestimated. Residents should maintain their properties and be aware of fire safety guidelines.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant health risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. Ensuring access to cooling centers and promoting heat safety awareness are crucial adaptation measures.

Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Investing in infrastructure improvements, implementing sustainable land management practices, and promoting community resilience are essential steps towards mitigating the impacts of climate change in Jerseyville.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Jerseyville?

Jerseyville is primarily at risk from flooding, coastal erosion, and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly during dry periods.

How will climate change affect property values in Jerseyville?

Increased climate risks, such as flooding and coastal erosion, may negatively impact property values in Jerseyville. Buyers should consider these risks when making purchasing decisions.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding in Jerseyville?

Consider flood-proofing your home, such as raising electrical outlets and installing flood barriers. Also, ensure that your property is properly drained and that you have adequate insurance coverage.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Jerseyville?

Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What is the local council doing to address climate change in Jerseyville?

The Kempsey Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies, including infrastructure improvements, emergency response planning, and community education programs. Check their website for more details.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Jerseyville?

You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Kempsey Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Jerseyville, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Jerseyville's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections