Climate Risk Profile: Jerrawa, NSW

Jerrawa, New South Wales· Upper Lachlan Shire Council· 2581
Updated May 2026

Jerrawa is a rural suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from bushfires, floods and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Jerrawa Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Jerrawa, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jerrawa

Flood

Jerrawa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

Jerrawa has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Jerrawa is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Jerrawa is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jerrawa

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Jerrawa is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Jerrawa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas
Data source

coastal Risk

Jerrawa is not exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Jerrawa has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to increased climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire protection plan

Immediate

Create a plan that includes evacuation routes, firebreaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve flood management infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and build flood levees to protect properties from inundation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement a heatwave preparedness plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation measures

Long-term

Encourage residents to reduce water consumption to mitigate the impacts of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Jerrawa's Climate Risk Profile

Jerrawa, NSW, is a rural community that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. The surrounding bushland creates a significant bushfire hazard, while increased rainfall intensity can lead to more frequent and severe flooding.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The changing climate is expected to put additional strain on local infrastructure and resources.

Understanding these risks and taking proactive adaptation measures is crucial for ensuring the long-term resilience of Jerrawa. This includes implementing bushfire mitigation strategies, improving flood management infrastructure, and developing heatwave preparedness plans.

By working together, the community can reduce its vulnerability to climate change and create a more sustainable future.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Jerrawa?

The main climate change risks in Jerrawa are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, installing firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in a cool place, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Jerrawa?

You can find information about flood risks in Jerrawa on the Upper Lachlan Shire Council website or the NSW State Emergency Service website.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Upper Lachlan Shire Council is developing a climate change strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Jerrawa, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections