Climate Risk Profile: Jemalong, NSW
Jemalong faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Bushfire risk is also present. Coastal risks are negligible due to its inland location.
Is Jemalong Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jemalong
Flood
Jemalong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Lachlan River and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
The risk of bushfire in Jemalong is moderate. While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, the area is susceptible to grassfires and ember attacks during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and droughts, elevating the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased heatwaves
- ·Drought conditions
Heat
Jemalong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. The increasing average temperatures pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Jemalong is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jemalong
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Jemalong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. The increasing average temperatures pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Jemalong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Lachlan River and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Inadequate drainage
coastal Risk
Jemalong is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Data sourcebushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Jemalong is moderate. While not immediately surrounded by dense bushland, the area is susceptible to grassfires and ember attacks during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and droughts, elevating the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased heatwaves
- ·Drought conditions
- ·Grassland fire risk
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's bushfire risk.
- 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider energy efficiency measures to mitigate heat impacts.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, improved drainage systems, and flood-proofing buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns, vegetation management, and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plan
ImmediateCreate a comprehensive heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termImplement water conservation measures to address drought conditions, such as promoting water-efficient appliances and implementing water restrictions.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Jemalong's Climate Risk Profile
Jemalong, located in the central west region of New South Wales, is exposed to several climate-related risks. The primary concern is flooding, due to its proximity to the Lachlan River. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate this risk, potentially leading to property damage and disruption of services.
Bushfire risk is also a factor, particularly during dry periods. While not heavily forested, the surrounding grasslands can pose a fire hazard. Rising temperatures and prolonged droughts increase the likelihood of bushfires impacting the community.
Heatwaves are another significant threat. Jemalong is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can strain infrastructure and pose health risks to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect may further amplify these impacts.
While Jemalong is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the community. Adapting to these challenges will require proactive planning and investment in resilience measures.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Jemalong?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Jemalong?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.
What is the local council doing to address climate change?
The local council's climate strategy is currently unknown. Contact the council for more information.
How can I prepare my home for a heatwave in Jemalong?
Install air conditioning or fans, stay hydrated, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Jemalong?
Contact the local council or check the NSW State Emergency Service website for flood maps and information.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections