Climate Risk in Jannali, NSW

Jannali, New South Wales· Sutherland Shire· 2226
Updated May 2026

Jannali is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should take steps to prepare for these potential impacts.

Is Jannali Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Jannali, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Jannali

Flood

Jannali faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Jannali has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season can increase the likelihood of fire.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Jannali is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Jannali faces a low to moderate risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could potentially impact low-lying areas and waterways.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Jannali

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Jannali is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Jannali faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise affecting drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Jannali faces a low to moderate risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could potentially impact low-lying areas and waterways.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Jannali has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season can increase the likelihood of fire.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land maps.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire risk mitigation

Near-term

Implement bushfire risk reduction measures such as clearing vegetation around properties and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Coastal protection measures

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Near-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Jannali's Climate Risk Profile

Jannali, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is a suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and rising sea levels, as well as more frequent and intense heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to the proximity of bushland areas.

The risk of flooding is driven by increased rainfall intensity and potential overflow from nearby waterways. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents and businesses should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Jannali. Rising global temperatures and the urban heat island effect are contributing to more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can pose a serious risk to vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool places, and check on elderly or unwell neighbors during heatwaves.

While the coastal risk is relatively lower compared to other hazards, sea level rise and storm surges could still impact low-lying areas and waterways in Jannali. It is important to monitor coastal erosion and take steps to protect coastal infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation involves reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow down the rate of climate change, while adaptation involves taking steps to prepare for the impacts that are already occurring or are expected to occur in the future.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Jannali?

The main climate change risks in Jannali are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Sea level rise also poses a potential threat to low-lying areas.

How is the council addressing climate change?

Sutherland Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can I do to prepare for flooding?

You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek shelter in cool places, and check on elderly or unwell neighbors.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and protect your property from fire.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Jannali?

You can find more information about climate change in Jannali on the Sutherland Shire Council website and the websites of relevant government agencies.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Jannali, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Jannali's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections