Climate Risk in Hurstville Grove, NSW
Hurstville Grove faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly flooding and heat. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Hurstville Grove Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Hurstville Grove, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Hurstville Grove
Flood
Hurstville Grove faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Hurstville Grove is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Hurstville Grove is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risk is low for Hurstville Grove due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Hurstville Grove
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Hurstville Grove is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Hurstville Grove faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Coastal risk is low for Hurstville Grove due to its distance from the immediate coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Hurstville Grove is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the potential impacts of heatwaves.
- 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
Near-termMaintain firebreaks, clear vegetation, and develop a bushfire survival plan.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water-saving practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Hurstville Grove's Climate Risk Profile
Hurstville Grove, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, driven by increased rainfall intensity and urban development, and heatwaves, which are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a factor, particularly in areas adjacent to bushland. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location.
The risk of flooding is expected to increase in the coming decades, with more intense rainfall events leading to greater potential for riverine and flash flooding. This could impact properties and infrastructure in low-lying areas. Heatwaves pose a significant threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks.
Bushfire risk is influenced by dry vegetation, high temperatures, and wind patterns. While not as significant as flooding or heatwaves, residents should remain vigilant and prepared, especially during the bushfire season. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's distance from the coast.
Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate the impacts of climate change in Hurstville Grove. These include improving drainage infrastructure to reduce flood risk, implementing heatwave management plans to protect vulnerable populations, and maintaining bushfire preparedness. Residents should also consider the potential impacts of climate change when making property decisions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Georges River Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Hurstville Grove?
The main risks are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is driven by increased rainfall intensity, while heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Bushfire risk is present in areas adjacent to bushland.
How will climate change affect property values in Hurstville Grove?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums due to flood and bushfire risks may also impact property values.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Hurstville Grove?
Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Hurstville Grove?
Maintain firebreaks, clear vegetation around your home, and develop a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Hurstville Grove?
You can find flood maps and historical flood data on the Georges River Council website. The NSW State Emergency Service also provides information about flood preparedness.
Is Hurstville Grove likely to experience more droughts in the future?
Climate projections suggest that the region may experience more frequent and prolonged droughts in the future. Conserving water is important to mitigate the impacts of drought.
Get your property's risk report
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections