Climate Risk in Horsley, NSW
Horsley faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly flooding and heat. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Horsley Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Horsley, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Horsley
Flood
Horsley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Horsley has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Horsley is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Horsley is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Horsley
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Horsley is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Horsley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Horsley is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Horsley has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.
- 4.Review council climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
ImmediateUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
Near-termDevelop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement vegetation management programs and promote fire-resistant building materials to reduce bushfire risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures, including emergency planning and home adaptation.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water-saving practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Horsley's Climate Risk Profile
Horsley, NSW, is a suburb that faces a number of climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfire risk. Due to its location and topography, Horsley is susceptible to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to a higher risk of flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Horsley. As temperatures rise, the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses increases, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban environment can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves, creating an urban heat island effect.
Bushfire risk is also present in Horsley, due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions increase the likelihood of bushfires, which can pose a threat to life and property.
While coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location, the suburb is not immune to the broader impacts of climate change. Changes in weather patterns and increased frequency of extreme events can affect the community and its infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in infrastructure, community education, and individual preparedness measures. By taking proactive steps, Horsley can build resilience and protect its residents from the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wollongong City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Horsley?
The main climate change risks for Horsley are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Horsley?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Increased insurance premiums due to climate risks may also affect property values.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Horsley?
Wollongong City Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, developing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting community education programs.
How can I prepare my home for increased flood risk?
You can prepare your home by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage around your property. Check the council's flood maps for detailed information.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I reduce my bushfire risk?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain your gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Horsley, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections