Climate Risk Profile: Horsfield Bay, NSW
Horsfield Bay faces increasing climate risks, particularly from heatwaves and flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to adapt to the changing climate.
Is Horsfield Bay Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Horsfield Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Horsfield Bay
Flood
Horsfield Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfires in Horsfield Bay is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Horsfield Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Horsfield Bay faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surges. This could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Horsfield Bay
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Horsfield Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Horsfield Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Horsfield Bay faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surges. This could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Horsfield Bay is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Potential for decreased property values in high-risk areas.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
- 4.Investigate potential sea level rise impacts.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Bushfire Defenses
Near-termImplement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as clearing vegetation around homes and creating firebreaks.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect Coastal Areas
Long-termImplement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, such as building seawalls and restoring natural habitats.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Horsfield Bay's Climate Risk Profile
Horsfield Bay is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, and the potential for more severe bushfires.
The rising temperatures pose a significant threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. Heatwaves are expected to become longer and more frequent, increasing the risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses.
Changes in rainfall patterns are also a concern, with heavier downpours increasing the risk of flash flooding. This can damage property, disrupt transportation, and pose a threat to safety.
While bushfire risk is moderate, it is expected to increase as conditions become drier and hotter. Residents should be aware of the risks and take steps to protect their homes and families.
Sea level rise also poses a threat to coastal areas, potentially leading to erosion and inundation. It is important to monitor these changes and take appropriate adaptation measures.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Horsfield Bay?
The main risks are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfires.
How will climate change affect property values in Horsfield Bay?
Property values in high-risk areas may decrease.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves?
Stay hydrated, stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, create a firebreak, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Horsfield Bay?
Consult the local council and relevant government agencies.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Horsfield Bay, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections