Climate Risk Profile: Horningsea Park, NSW
Horningsea Park faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events. The suburb's distance from the coast mitigates coastal risks.
Is Horningsea Park Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Horningsea Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Horningsea Park
Flood
Horningsea Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Horningsea Park is moderate due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Horningsea Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risk is low in Horningsea Park due to its distance from the coast. Sea level rise is not expected to have a direct impact on the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Horningsea Park
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Horningsea Park is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Horningsea Park faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Sea level rise
coastal Risk
Coastal risk is low in Horningsea Park due to its distance from the coast. Sea level rise is not expected to have a direct impact on the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Horningsea Park is moderate due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Property values may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
- 4.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management plan
Near-termDevelop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan for the suburb.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEstablish community cooling centers
ImmediateEstablish community cooling centers to provide refuge during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease tree canopy cover
Long-termPlant more trees to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Horningsea Park's Climate Risk Profile
Horningsea Park, located in Western Sydney, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity, bushfires due to hotter and drier conditions, and heatwaves due to rising temperatures.
Flooding is a significant risk due to the suburb's proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.
Bushfire risk is moderate due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and staying in air-conditioned environments.
While coastal risks are low due to the suburb's distance from the coast, the impacts of climate change will still be felt through increased extreme weather events. Adaptation measures are necessary to protect the community and infrastructure from the impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Liverpool City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Horningsea Park?
The main climate risks facing Horningsea Park are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Horningsea Park?
Property values in Horningsea Park may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks, such as flooding and bushfires. Insurance premiums may also increase.
What can I do to prepare for climate change in Horningsea Park?
You can prepare for climate change by taking steps to reduce your risk of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. This includes maintaining your property, having an evacuation plan, and staying informed about weather conditions.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Horningsea Park?
You can find more information about climate change in Horningsea Park from Liverpool City Council, the NSW State Emergency Service, and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Is Horningsea Park likely to experience more power outages due to climate change?
Yes, with increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events like heatwaves and storms, Horningsea Park may experience more power outages. It's advisable to have a backup plan.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Horningsea Park, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections