Climate Risk in Hogarth Range, NSW
Hogarth Range faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and flooding. The risk is projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Hogarth Range Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Hogarth Range, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Hogarth Range
Flood
Hogarth Range faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow
Bushfire
The area around Hogarth Range has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding vegetation and dry conditions, especially during the summer months. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Hogarth Range experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Hogarth Range is not located near the coast and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Hogarth Range
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Hogarth Range experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Hogarth Range faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Hogarth Range is not located near the coast and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area around Hogarth Range has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding vegetation and dry conditions, especially during the summer months. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased frequency of extreme weather events
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing risk of bushfires and floods.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage details.
- 4.Consider the long-term climate risks and potential impacts on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and vegetation clearing, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education
Long-termProvide education and awareness programs to inform residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Hogarth Range's Climate Risk Profile
Hogarth Range, located in New South Wales, is an area that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks are bushfires and flooding, with heatwaves also posing a threat. The region's vulnerability is exacerbated by its location and existing infrastructure.
Bushfire risk is a significant concern due to the surrounding vegetation and increasingly dry conditions. Climate change models predict longer fire seasons and more intense fires, which could have devastating consequences for the community.
Flooding is another major risk, with heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding threatening homes and infrastructure. Changes in rainfall patterns and increased intensity of storms are expected to increase the frequency and severity of flooding events.
Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Rising average temperatures will further exacerbate this risk.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved infrastructure, community education, and adaptation strategies. Residents should stay informed about potential hazards and take steps to protect themselves and their property.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
UNKNOWN
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Hogarth Range?
The main climate risks are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How will climate change affect property values in Hogarth Range?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increasing risk of extreme weather events.
What can I do to prepare for bushfires?
You can prepare by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.
What should I do during a flood?
During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the advice of emergency services.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections