Climate Risk in Gymea, New South Wales
Gymea is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are increasing flood and bushfire risks, along with rising heat and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Gymea Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Gymea, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gymea
Flood
Gymea faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding from nearby waterways. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure in some areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urbanisation
Bushfire
Gymea has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can create dangerous conditions, increasing the likelihood of bushfires impacting the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Gymea experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This can pose health risks, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Gymea faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast and waterways. Sea level rise and storm surges can lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gymea
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Gymea experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This can pose health risks, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Gymea faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding from nearby waterways. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure in some areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urbanisation
- ·Sea level rise
coastal Risk
Gymea faces a moderate coastal risk due to its proximity to the coast and waterways. Sea level rise and storm surges can lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Gymea has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to significant bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can create dangerous conditions, increasing the likelihood of bushfires impacting the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·Stronger winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas due to flooding and bushfire.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfire.
- 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate change adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire risk mitigation
ImmediateImplement bushfire risk mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and creating firebreaks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal protection measures
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures to reduce the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Gymea's Climate Risk Profile
Gymea, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland and waterways makes it susceptible to bushfires and flooding, while rising temperatures and sea levels exacerbate these risks.
Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. Urban development and aging infrastructure contribute to the problem, increasing the risk of property damage and disruption to daily life. Bushfire risk is also high, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and strong winds can quickly spread flames towards residential areas.
Rising temperatures pose a further challenge, with more frequent and intense heatwaves expected in the future. This can lead to heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. Sea level rise and storm surges also threaten coastal areas, potentially causing erosion and inundation.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in infrastructure upgrades, improved emergency preparedness, and community education. Residents can also take steps to protect their homes and families, such as clearing vegetation around their properties, developing emergency plans, and staying informed about weather conditions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Sutherland Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Gymea?
The main climate change risks in Gymea are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, creating a firebreak, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Gymea?
You can find information about flood risks in Gymea on the Sutherland Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Is climate change going to affect my property value in Gymea?
Climate change may affect property values in Gymea, particularly in areas that are at high risk of flooding, bushfires, or coastal erosion. It's important to consider these risks when buying or selling property.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Sutherland Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to reduce the risks associated with climate change. Check their website for details.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Gymea, use our analysis tool.
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections