Climate Risk Profile: Gunningrah, NSW

Gunningrah, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Gunningrah faces moderate risks from bushfires and heatwaves, with increasing trends due to climate change. Flooding is also a concern, particularly during heavy rainfall events. Coastal risk is negligible due to its inland location.

Is Gunningrah Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Gunningrah, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gunningrah

Flood

Gunningrah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local topography and drainage infrastructure play a role in the severity of flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Gunningrah is relatively high due to the proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Gunningrah experiences a moderate to high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Rising average temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Gunningrah is not located near the coast, therefore the coastal risk is very low.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gunningrah

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Gunningrah experiences a moderate to high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Rising average temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Climate change
Data source

flood Risk

Gunningrah faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Local topography and drainage infrastructure play a role in the severity of flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Gunningrah is not located near the coast, therefore the coastal risk is very low.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Gunningrah is relatively high due to the proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impacts in the long term.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area status.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Conduct regular vegetation clearing and controlled burns to reduce bushfire fuel loads.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide public awareness campaigns to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation measures

Long-term

Encourage residents to adopt water-saving practices to reduce water stress during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve building codes for climate resilience

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are more resilient to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Gunningrah's Climate Risk Profile

Gunningrah, NSW, is exposed to several climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The suburb's proximity to bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, especially during hot and dry periods. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Flooding is another notable risk, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. The local topography and drainage infrastructure play a crucial role in mitigating or exacerbating flood impacts. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, further elevating flood risk.

While Gunningrah is not located near the coast, the impacts of climate change, such as increased temperatures and altered rainfall patterns, will still have significant consequences for the community. These changes can affect water resources, agriculture, and overall quality of life.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including proactive adaptation measures, community awareness programs, and sustainable development practices. By taking action now, Gunningrah can enhance its resilience and protect its residents from the worst impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Gunningrah?

Gunningrah is primarily at risk from bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Gunningrah?

Climate change may have a moderate impact on property values in the long term, particularly for properties located in high-risk areas.

What can I do to protect my home from bushfires?

You can protect your home by clearing vegetation around the property, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Gunningrah?

You can find information about flood risks from the local council and the NSW State Emergency Service.

How can I prepare for a heatwave in Gunningrah?

You can prepare for a heatwave by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Is Gunningrah considered a bushfire prone area?

Yes, Gunningrah is located in a designated bushfire prone area.

Get your property's risk report

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Gunningrah, NSW | ClimateNest