Climate Risk Profile: Granville, NSW

Granville, New South Wales· City of Parramatta· 2142
Updated Mar 2026

Granville is a suburb in Western Sydney that faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. While the bushfire risk is relatively low, it is expected to increase slightly. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Granville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Granville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Granville

Flood

Granville faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Parramatta River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Granville is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Granville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Granville is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Granville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Granville is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Granville faces a notable risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Parramatta River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Proximity to waterways
Data source

coastal Risk

Granville is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise and coastal erosion due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Granville is relatively low due to its urban environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could slightly elevate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
  • 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure improvements to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage upgrades, and flood-proofing of buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Long-term

Promote bushfire awareness and preparedness among residents, including clearing vegetation around homes and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Granville's Climate Risk Profile

Granville, located in the western suburbs of Sydney, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns for this suburb are flooding and heatwaves, with a lesser but still present risk of bushfires.

Flooding is a significant threat due to Granville's proximity to the Parramatta River and other waterways. Climate change projections indicate an increase in rainfall intensity, which will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. This poses a risk to homes, businesses, and infrastructure in the area.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with rising average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat events expected in the future. This can have serious health impacts, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly, children, and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban environment of Granville can exacerbate the effects of heatwaves due to the urban heat island effect.

While the risk of bushfires is relatively low compared to other areas of New South Wales, it is still important to be aware of the potential for bushfires, especially during dry periods. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires in many parts of Australia, and Granville could be affected by smoke and air quality issues even if it is not directly threatened by fire.

Residents and businesses in Granville should take steps to prepare for the impacts of climate change, including developing emergency plans, investing in flood mitigation measures, and taking steps to stay cool during heatwaves. Local authorities also have a role to play in implementing climate adaptation strategies to protect the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Granville?

The main climate change risks for Granville are flooding, heatwaves, and a slight increase in bushfire risk.

How will climate change affect property values in Granville?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk. Rising insurance premiums may also affect property values.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Granville?

The City of Parramatta has a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change, such as flood mitigation and heatwave preparedness.

How can I prepare my home for flooding in Granville?

You can prepare your home for flooding by raising electrical outlets, installing flood barriers, and developing an emergency plan.

What should I do during a heatwave in Granville?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Is Granville in a bushfire-prone area?

While not considered a high-risk area, Granville is located near bushland and residents should be aware of bushfire safety during the fire season.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Granville, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections