Climate Risk in Wembley Downs, Western Australia

Wembley Downs, Western Australia· City of Stirling· 6019
Updated Apr 2026

Wembley Downs faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, with coastal risks being low. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of these events, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Is Wembley Downs Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Wembley Downs, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Wembley Downs

Flood

Wembley Downs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localized drainage issues. Coastal inundation is less of a concern due to its distance from the immediate coastline.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Wembley Downs is moderate due to the presence of nearby bushland areas. Increased temperatures and drier conditions are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Wembley Downs is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Coastal risk is low in Wembley Downs due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Wembley Downs

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Wembley Downs is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Wembley Downs faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localized drainage issues. Coastal inundation is less of a concern due to its distance from the immediate coastline.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risk is low in Wembley Downs due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Wembley Downs is moderate due to the presence of nearby bushland areas. Increased temperatures and drier conditions are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of localized flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement bushfire management plans for properties near bushland areas, including vegetation management and firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Establish Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Create a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Wembley Downs's Climate Risk Profile

Wembley Downs, located in Western Australia, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity, bushfires due to proximity to bushland, and heatwaves affecting vulnerable populations. Coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's distance from the coastline.

Flooding is expected to become more frequent and intense, driven by climate change and urban development that reduces permeable surfaces. This can lead to property damage and disruption of local infrastructure. Bushfire risk is also increasing due to hotter, drier conditions, posing a threat to homes and the environment.

Heatwaves are becoming more common, impacting public health, particularly among the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The local council and community need to implement strategies to mitigate these risks and protect residents.

Adaptation measures are crucial to ensure the long-term resilience of Wembley Downs. These include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and providing support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential to minimize the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Wembley Downs?

The main climate risks include increased flooding due to heavy rainfall, bushfire risk due to proximity to bushland, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.

How is the City of Stirling addressing climate change?

The City of Stirling has implemented various climate strategies, including improving drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and developing bushfire management plans.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property by maintaining vegetation, creating firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Wembley Downs?

You can find information about flood risks on the City of Stirling website and through the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES).

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Wembley Downs, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections