Climate Risk Profile: Success, WA

Success, Western Australia

Updated Apr 2026

Success, WA, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from heatwaves and coastal hazards. The risk scores for flood, bushfire, heat, and coastal impacts are projected to increase by 2050. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Success Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Success, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B

2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Success

Flood

Success faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and localized stormwater runoff. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more frequent and intense rainfall.

Key drivers:

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Success is moderate due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions

Heat

Success experiences a high risk of heatwaves and extreme heat events, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

·Rising temperatures
·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Success faces a moderate to high risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges are the primary concerns, potentially leading to inundation and erosion. The risk is projected to increase significantly with climate change.

Key drivers:

·Sea level rise
·Storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Success

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Primary Drivers

·Rising temperatures
·Urban heat island effect
·Reduced nighttime cooling

Data source

flood Risk

Primary Drivers

·Increased rainfall intensity
·Urban development
·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Data source

coastal Risk

Primary Drivers

·Sea level rise
·Storm surge
·Coastal erosion

Data source

bushfire Risk

Primary Drivers

·Increased temperatures
·Drier conditions
·Fuel load

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
4.Review insurance coverage and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads and implement firebreaks to protect properties from bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation practices to reduce water stress during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Success's Climate Risk Profile

Success is a suburb in Western Australia that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include heatwaves, coastal inundation, bushfires, and flooding.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect exacerbates this risk in densely built areas.

Coastal inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges threatens low-lying areas. This can lead to property damage, displacement of residents, and erosion of coastal infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is also increasing due to hotter, drier conditions and increased fuel loads. The proximity of bushland areas to residential areas makes Success particularly vulnerable.

Flooding from intense rainfall events can cause damage to property and infrastructure. Inadequate drainage systems can exacerbate the risk, especially in areas with rapid urban development.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

City of Cockburn

Climate Strategy Flood Maps Emergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Success?

The main climate change risks in Success include heatwaves, coastal inundation, bushfires, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Success?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased climate-related risks. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What can I do to protect my property from climate change impacts?

You can take several steps to protect your property, including improving drainage, reducing fuel loads, and implementing coastal protection measures. It is also important to have adequate insurance coverage.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Success?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Success from the City of Cockburn, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The City of Cockburn is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and protecting coastal areas.

Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Success?

Yes, there are several community initiatives focused on sustainability and climate action. These include local environmental groups and council-led programs promoting energy efficiency and waste reduction.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Success, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Success →

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Get Your flood Risk Report — A$49

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B

2022 insured disaster losses*

$300B+

climate risk to property by 2050*

30-120%

insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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