Climate Risk Profile: South Bunbury, WA

South Bunbury, Western Australia
Updated Mar 2026

South Bunbury faces a medium overall climate risk. The primary concerns are increasing heatwaves and potential flooding. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Is South Bunbury Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for South Bunbury, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for South Bunbury

Flood

South Bunbury faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in South Bunbury is moderate due to proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

South Bunbury experiences high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

South Bunbury faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

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Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for South Bunbury

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

South Bunbury experiences high heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

South Bunbury faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

South Bunbury faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in South Bunbury is moderate due to proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve home cooling and insulation

Immediate

Install energy-efficient air conditioning and improve insulation to reduce heat stress during heatwaves.

Est. cost: $5,000 - $15,000

Learn more

Elevate or flood-proof homes

Near-term

Raise homes above the projected flood level or implement flood-proofing measures to protect against water damage.

Est. cost: $10,000 - $50,000

Learn more

Create bushfire buffer zones

Immediate

Clear vegetation around homes to create a buffer zone and reduce the risk of bushfire damage.

Est. cost: $1,000 - $5,000

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and dune restoration to mitigate erosion and sea level rise impacts.

Est. cost: $50,000+

Learn more

About South Bunbury's Climate Risk Profile

South Bunbury is located in a region that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures are expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a significant risk to public health, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions.

Flooding is another major concern, with the potential for both riverine and coastal flooding. Increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise are expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Coastal erosion is also a threat, particularly in low-lying areas.

Bushfire risk is present due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry summers create conditions conducive to bushfires, which can pose a threat to life and property. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of an emergency.

Adapting to these climate change impacts will require a concerted effort from individuals, businesses, and government. This includes measures such as improving building resilience, implementing better urban planning, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in South Bunbury?

The main risks are increasing heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves?

Improve insulation, install air conditioning, and ensure you have a plan for staying cool during extreme heat.

What should I do to protect my property from bushfires?

Create a buffer zone around your home by clearing vegetation, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

Is my property at risk of flooding?

Check the City of Bunbury's flood maps to determine if your property is in a flood-prone area.

How will climate change affect property values in South Bunbury?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased insurance costs and potential damage from extreme weather events.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in South Bunbury, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check South Bunbury's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections