Climate Risk Assessment for Shelley, WA
Shelley faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. While bushfire risk is relatively low, coastal impacts from sea level rise could affect the suburb.
Is Shelley Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Shelley, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →
Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Shelley
Flood
Shelley is located near the Canning River and has a moderate risk of flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Riverine flooding and flash flooding are potential concerns.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Shelley has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from large areas of dense bushland. However, parks and reserves nearby could pose a risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
Heat
Shelley is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This will increase the risk of heat stress, especially for vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Shelley is located inland from the coast, but is still potentially vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surges impacting the Canning River. Coastal erosion is not a direct threat.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Shelley
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Shelley is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This will increase the risk of heat stress, especially for vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Shelley is located near the Canning River and has a moderate risk of flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Riverine flooding and flash flooding are potential concerns.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Shelley is located inland from the coast, but is still potentially vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surges impacting the Canning River. Coastal erosion is not a direct threat.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Shelley has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and distance from large areas of dense bushland. However, parks and reserves nearby could pose a risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and storm risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on the Canning River.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen coastal protection measures
Long-termImplement measures to protect against sea level rise and storm surges, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn morePromote water conservation
Near-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during periods of drought.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Shelley's Climate Risk Profile
Shelley, Western Australia, is projected to experience a range of climate change impacts over the coming decades. The most significant risks are associated with increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising sea levels affecting the Canning River. Heatwaves are also expected to become more frequent and severe, posing a threat to public health, particularly for elderly and vulnerable residents.
Bushfire risk is currently moderate, but could increase slightly with drier conditions and higher temperatures. Coastal impacts, while not as direct as in coastal suburbs, could still affect Shelley through riverine flooding and storm surges.
The local council and state government are developing strategies to mitigate these risks, including improved drainage infrastructure, heatwave management plans, and coastal protection measures. However, individual residents and property owners also need to take steps to prepare for these changes.
Adapting to climate change in Shelley will require a combination of government action, community engagement, and individual responsibility. By working together, the community can build resilience and protect the suburb from the worst impacts of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Canning
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Shelley?
The main climate change risks for Shelley are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall and rising sea levels, as well as more frequent and severe heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Shelley?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk. Insurance premiums may also increase.
What is the City of Canning doing to address climate change?
The City of Canning is developing strategies to mitigate climate change risks, including improved drainage infrastructure, heatwave management plans, and coastal protection measures.
How can I prepare my home for climate change impacts?
You can prepare your home by checking flood maps, assessing your property's vulnerability to heatwaves, and considering the potential impact of sea level rise. You should also review your insurance options.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Shelley?
You can find more information on the City of Canning website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Shelley, use our analysis tool.
Check Your flood Risk Now
Check Shelley's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.
What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections