Climate Risk in Pemberton, WA

Pemberton, Western Australia
Updated Mar 2026

Pemberton faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase with climate change, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Pemberton Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Pemberton, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Pemberton

Flood

Pemberton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow

Bushfire

Pemberton has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to dense forests and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Pemberton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Pemberton is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Pemberton

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Pemberton experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Pemberton faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and riverine flooding. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Pemberton is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Pemberton has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to dense forests and dry conditions during summer. Climate change is projected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated bushfire and flood risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Bushfire Preparedness Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire preparedness plan for your property, including clearing vegetation, creating firebreaks, and having an evacuation plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Flood Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement flood mitigation measures such as installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating vulnerable equipment.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Prepare for heatwaves by ensuring access to cooling, staying hydrated, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Sustainable Land Management

Long-term

Promote sustainable land management practices to reduce bushfire risk and protect water resources.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Pemberton's Climate Risk Profile

Pemberton, located in the southwest of Western Australia, is characterized by its stunning forests and agricultural lands. However, the region is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

Bushfire risk is a significant concern, with the potential for devastating fires during dry summer months. The combination of dry vegetation, high temperatures, and strong winds creates ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. Residents need to be vigilant and prepared for potential evacuations.

Flooding is another risk, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. The region's rivers and streams can overflow, inundating low-lying areas and causing damage to property. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, exacerbating the risk of flooding.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Rising average temperatures are contributing to increased heat stress and the potential for heat-related illnesses.

While coastal risks are minimal due to Pemberton's inland location, the broader impacts of climate change on the region's economy and environment should not be ignored. Sustainable land management practices and community resilience initiatives are crucial for mitigating the risks and adapting to a changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Pemberton?

The main climate risks in Pemberton are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation, creating firebreaks, and having an evacuation plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek cooling, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Pemberton?

You can find information about flood risks in Pemberton on the Department of Water and Environmental Regulation website.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The Shire of Manjimup is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address the risks posed by climate change.

Will climate change affect my insurance premiums in Pemberton?

Yes, insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated bushfire and flood risks associated with climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Pemberton, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections