Climate Risk in Midland, WA
Midland faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, requiring proactive adaptation measures. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to nearby bushland.
Is Midland Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Midland, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Midland
Flood
Midland faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and local drainage patterns. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Midland is moderate, influenced by nearby bushland areas. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could elevate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Midland is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Coastal risk is low in Midland due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats to the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Midland
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Midland is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Midland faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and local drainage patterns. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·River proximity
coastal Risk
Coastal risk is low in Midland due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats to the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Midland is moderate, influenced by nearby bushland areas. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change could elevate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Proximity to bushland
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
- 4.Review insurance coverage and potential premium increases.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and levees.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire risk mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and building codes for bushfire-prone areas.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUrban Greening
Long-termIncrease urban greening to reduce the urban heat island effect and improve air quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Midland's Climate Risk Profile
Midland, located in Western Australia, is projected to experience increasing climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary risks stem from increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves. The suburb's proximity to the Swan River makes it vulnerable to flooding, and this vulnerability is expected to increase with climate change.
Heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of Midland residents, particularly vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks, making adaptation measures crucial.
While Midland is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and economic activity, could indirectly affect the suburb. Therefore, a comprehensive approach to climate adaptation is essential.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts should focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while adaptation measures should aim to build resilience to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in flood defenses, improving urban planning to reduce the urban heat island effect, and implementing public health programs to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Swan
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Midland?
The main climate change risks for Midland are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and more frequent and severe heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Midland?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums may also affect property values.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The City of Swan is developing and implementing climate change strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Midland?
Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
What should I do if my property is at risk of flooding?
Contact the City of Swan for advice on flood mitigation measures and ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Midland, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections