Climate Risk in Manly, WA
Manly, WA, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from heatwaves and bushfires. Sea level rise and flooding also pose increasing threats. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Manly
Flood
Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Manly has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Manly faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Manly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential coastal inundation. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
coastal Risk
Manly faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Manly has a relatively high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values in vulnerable areas may be affected.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider sea level rise projections
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Develop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove bushfire preparedness
Near-termImplement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreInvest in coastal protection measures
Long-termImplement strategies to protect coastal areas from sea level rise and erosion, such as building seawalls and restoring natural habitats.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreUpgrade stormwater drainage systems
Near-termImprove stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Manly's Climate Risk Profile
Manly, Western Australia, is a suburb that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, an elevated bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland, and increasing threats from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion.
Heatwaves are projected to become more common and severe, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Residents should take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.
The suburb's proximity to bushland increases the risk of bushfires, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Sea level rise and coastal erosion pose a long-term threat to low-lying areas of Manly. Planning for coastal adaptation measures will be crucial to protect infrastructure and property.
Overall, Manly residents should stay informed about climate risks and take steps to prepare for the impacts of climate change. This includes having emergency plans in place, maintaining insurance coverage, and supporting local efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Manly?
The main risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, an elevated bushfire risk, and increasing threats from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion.
How will heatwaves affect Manly residents?
Heatwaves are projected to become more common and severe, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Manly?
Maintain your property to reduce fire hazards and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Stay informed about bushfire risks and have an emergency plan in place.
How will sea level rise affect Manly?
Sea level rise poses a long-term threat to low-lying areas of Manly. Planning for coastal adaptation measures will be crucial to protect infrastructure and property.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Manly?
You can find more information on the websites of the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), CSIRO, and the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES).
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections