Climate Risk in Mandurah East, WA

Mandurah East, Western Australia
Updated Mar 2026

Mandurah East faces moderate risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in the long term. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Mandurah East Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Mandurah East, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mandurah East

Flood

Mandurah East faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfire in Mandurah East is moderate, with bushland areas nearby posing a potential threat during dry periods and high winds.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Mandurah East is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, leading to increased heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal erosion and inundation are potential concerns for Mandurah East due to its coastal location and rising sea levels.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mandurah East

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Mandurah East is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, leading to increased heat stress for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Mandurah East faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal erosion and inundation are potential concerns for Mandurah East due to its coastal location and rising sea levels.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfire in Mandurah East is moderate, with bushland areas nearby posing a potential threat during dry periods and high winds.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen coastal defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement stricter building codes

Near-term

Update building codes to ensure new constructions are more resilient to climate change impacts.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Mandurah East's Climate Risk Profile

Mandurah East, located in Western Australia, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to waterways increases its vulnerability to flooding, especially during periods of heavy rainfall. Rising sea levels and storm surges also pose a threat to coastal areas.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, impacting the health and well-being of residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these impacts.

Bushfire risk is present due to nearby bushland, requiring residents to maintain their properties and be prepared for potential fire events. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to slowing down the rate of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improved drainage systems and heatwave preparedness plans, can help to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Mandurah East?

The main risks include flooding, heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Mandurah East?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Mandurah East?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Mandurah East?

You can find flood maps and information on the City of Mandurah website and the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website.

What is the City of Mandurah doing to address climate change?

The City of Mandurah is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on the community.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Mandurah East, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Mandurah East's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Mandurah East, WA | ClimateNest