Climate Risk in Busselton, WA

Busselton, Western Australia· City of Busselton· 6280
Updated Apr 2026

Busselton faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase with climate change, particularly under high emissions scenarios. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Busselton Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Busselton, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Busselton

Flood

Busselton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its coastal location and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity

Bushfire

Bushfire risk in Busselton is moderate, with areas of bushland surrounding the town. Hot, dry summers increase the potential for bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Busselton experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heatwave conditions. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal erosion and inundation are concerns for Busselton due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate these issues.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Busselton

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Busselton experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to heatwave conditions. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Busselton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its coastal location and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to localised flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal erosion and inundation are concerns for Busselton due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate these issues.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk in Busselton is moderate, with areas of bushland surrounding the town. Hot, dry summers increase the potential for bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may see reduced value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider coastal erosion potential
  • 4.Evaluate energy efficiency

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement bushfire management plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire management plan.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation to mitigate drought impacts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Busselton's Climate Risk Profile

Busselton, a coastal town in Western Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is experiencing rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise, all of which contribute to increased risks from various hazards.

Flooding is a significant concern for Busselton, with low-lying areas susceptible to inundation during heavy rainfall events and storm surges. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall and the frequency of coastal flooding, posing a threat to property and infrastructure.

Bushfire risk is also present in Busselton, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. Areas of bushland surrounding the town can fuel bushfires, which can spread rapidly under windy conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the length and severity of the bushfire season.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Busselton, posing a risk to human health, especially for vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can also impact infrastructure and agriculture.

Coastal erosion is an ongoing issue for Busselton, with sea level rise exacerbating the problem. Erosion can damage coastal properties and infrastructure, and threaten the town's beaches and natural environment.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Busselton?

The main climate change risks in Busselton are flooding, heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal erosion.

How is the City of Busselton addressing climate change?

The City of Busselton is developing and implementing climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts?

Residents can take steps to reduce their risk from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, such as improving drainage, clearing vegetation, and staying cool during hot weather.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Busselton?

More information can be found on the City of Busselton website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Are there any government grants available for climate change adaptation?

Government grants may be available for climate change adaptation projects. Check the relevant government websites for more information.

How will sea level rise affect Busselton?

Sea level rise is expected to increase coastal erosion and inundation in Busselton, potentially impacting properties and infrastructure near the coast.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Busselton, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections