Climate Risk in Bayswater, Western Australia
Bayswater faces a moderate climate risk, primarily driven by increasing heatwave frequency and potential flooding from the Swan River. While bushfire and coastal risks are low, residents should prepare for hotter summers and potential disruptions from extreme weather events.
Is Bayswater Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Bayswater
Flood
Bayswater faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising river levels could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Rising river levels
Bushfire
Bayswater has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban environment and distance from dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in parks and reserves could pose a localized threat during extreme heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Extreme heat events
Heat
Bayswater is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Bayswater is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Bayswater
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Bayswater is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Bayswater faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising river levels could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Rising river levels
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Bayswater is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
Bayswater has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban environment and distance from dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in parks and reserves could pose a localized threat during extreme heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Extreme heat events
- ·Windy conditions
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency upgrades.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease Urban Greenery
Long-termIncrease urban greenery to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade and cooling.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Near-termPromote water conservation measures to reduce water demand and ensure water security during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Bayswater's Climate Risk Profile
Bayswater, located in Western Australia, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change. The primary risks include increased heatwave frequency and intensity, as well as potential flooding from the Swan River due to increased rainfall and rising river levels.
The suburb's proximity to the Swan River makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly in low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to higher river levels and a greater risk of inundation. Residents and businesses should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Bayswater. As global temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a significant risk to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect could further exacerbate these conditions.
While bushfire risk is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment, dry vegetation in parks and reserves could pose a localized threat during extreme heat events. It is important to maintain vegetation and be aware of fire risks during hot and windy conditions.
Coastal risks are minimal due to Bayswater's inland location. However, the broader region may experience coastal impacts, which could indirectly affect the suburb through economic and social disruptions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Bayswater
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Bayswater?
The main climate change risks for Bayswater are increased heatwave frequency and intensity, as well as potential flooding from the Swan River.
How will climate change affect property values in Bayswater?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. It's important to check flood maps and insurance costs.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The City of Bayswater is developing and implementing climate adaptation plans to mitigate the impacts of climate change.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Bayswater?
Stay hydrated, seek shade, and check on vulnerable neighbors. The council may provide cooling centers during extreme heat events.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Bayswater?
You can find more information about flood risks on the City of Bayswater website and the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Bayswater, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections