Climate Risk in Ascot, WA
Ascot faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and sea levels are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Ascot Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ascot, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ascot
Flood
Ascot is located near the Swan River and has a moderate risk of flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall and storm surges.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Ascot has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas could pose a threat under extreme conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Ascot experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Ascot is located near the coast and is susceptible to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ascot
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ascot experiences high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Ascot is located near the Swan River and has a moderate risk of flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall and storm surges.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Ascot is located near the coast and is susceptible to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
Ascot has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas could pose a threat under extreme conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
- 4.Review bushfire risk management plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Protection Infrastructure
Near-termInvest in levees, drainage systems, and other infrastructure to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Mitigation Strategies
Near-termIncrease vegetation cover, promote cool roofs, and implement urban planning strategies to reduce the urban heat island effect.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Coastal Defenses
Long-termConstruct seawalls, restore coastal vegetation, and implement managed retreat strategies to protect coastal properties from erosion and inundation.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Bushfire Management Plans
Near-termCreate and implement bushfire management plans for properties and communities in bushfire-prone areas.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
ImmediateEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops, information sessions, and online resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ascot's Climate Risk Profile
Ascot, Western Australia, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related challenges. Its proximity to the Swan River makes it vulnerable to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall and storm surges. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity and frequency of these events, posing a greater risk to properties and infrastructure.
The suburb also experiences high temperatures during summer, with the potential for heatwaves. As global temperatures continue to rise, Ascot is likely to experience more frequent and intense heat events, which can have significant impacts on human health and well-being. The urban environment can exacerbate the heat island effect, further increasing temperatures.
In addition, Ascot is located near the coast and is susceptible to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. These hazards can threaten coastal properties and infrastructure, as well as natural ecosystems.
While the bushfire risk in Ascot is relatively low due to its urban location, nearby bushland areas could pose a threat under extreme conditions. It is important for residents to be aware of bushfire risks and take appropriate precautions.
To mitigate these risks, it is essential for residents, businesses, and local authorities to take proactive measures. This includes investing in flood protection infrastructure, implementing heat mitigation strategies, and promoting sustainable development practices. By working together, the community can build resilience to the impacts of climate change and ensure a sustainable future for Ascot.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Belmont
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Ascot?
Ascot faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to its location near the Swan River and the coast. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
How will climate change affect property values in Ascot?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions, while those in less vulnerable areas may be less affected. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase due to climate risks.
What can I do to protect my home from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating appliances. Check your insurance policy to ensure it covers flood damage.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Ascot?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing window coverings and insulation to reduce heat gain.
What is the local council doing to address climate change?
The City of Belmont is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and build resilience to climate impacts. Check their website for more information.
Where can I find information on emergency services during a climate event?
The Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) website provides information on emergency services and preparedness.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ascot, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections