Climate Risk in Upper Gundowring, VIC
Upper Gundowring faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, with increasing heat risk due to climate change. The suburb is relatively far from the coast, resulting in low coastal risk. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Upper Gundowring Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Upper Gundowring, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Upper Gundowring
Flood
Upper Gundowring faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
Upper Gundowring has a moderate risk of bushfire due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire weather.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Upper Gundowring experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Upper Gundowring is located inland and has a very low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Upper Gundowring
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Upper Gundowring experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Upper Gundowring faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Inadequate drainage
coastal Risk
Upper Gundowring is located inland and has a very low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Upper Gundowring has a moderate risk of bushfire due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfire weather.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price fluctuations.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather.
- 3.Review insurance options and costs.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness Programs
ImmediateImplement community education programs on bushfire preparedness and evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreSustainable Land Management
Long-termPromote sustainable land management practices to reduce erosion and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Upper Gundowring's Climate Risk Profile
Upper Gundowring, located in northeastern Victoria, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding and bushfires, driven by increasing rainfall intensity and hotter, drier conditions respectively. The risk of heatwaves is also increasing, posing a threat to vulnerable populations.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the proximity of waterways and the potential for heavy rainfall events. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, leading to higher flood risk. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have evacuation plans in place.
Bushfire risk is also a major concern, particularly during the summer months. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and hot, dry conditions can quickly escalate the risk. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to the elderly, children, and those with chronic health conditions. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and staying in air-conditioned environments.
While coastal risks are minimal due to the suburb's inland location, the overall impact of climate change on Upper Gundowring is significant. Residents and local authorities need to take proactive measures to adapt to these changes and mitigate the risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Towong Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Upper Gundowring?
The main climate risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare for a flood in Upper Gundowring?
Check flood maps, have an evacuation plan, and ensure your property is adequately insured.
What should I do during a bushfire?
Stay informed about fire warnings, prepare your property, and be ready to evacuate if necessary.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
Drink plenty of water, stay in air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Upper Gundowring?
Consult the Towong Shire Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology, and the CSIRO for the latest information and resources.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Upper Gundowring, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections