Climate Risk Profile: Tourello, VIC
Tourello faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Tourello Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Tourello, Victoria, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tourello
Flood
Tourello faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Local creek overflow
Bushfire
Tourello has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Tourello is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Tourello is not directly exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tourello
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Tourello is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Tourello faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and local creek overflows. The risk is expected to increase with climate change due to more intense rainfall.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Local creek overflow
- ·Inadequate drainage
bushfire Risk
Tourello has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider heatwave resilience
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to mitigate flood risks.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness Planning
ImmediateDevelop and implement bushfire preparedness plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Early Warning System
Near-termEstablish a heatwave early warning system to protect vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Long-termConduct community education programs on climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Tourello's Climate Risk Profile
Tourello, Victoria, is a rural locality that faces increasing climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are the rising risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Flooding is a moderate risk due to heavy rainfall and local creek systems. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take appropriate precautions.
Bushfire risk is high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to exacerbate this risk, making bushfires more frequent and intense. Preparedness and awareness are crucial for residents.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern, with projections indicating more frequent and intense heat events. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Taking steps to stay cool and hydrated during heatwaves is essential.
While Tourello is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the overall impact of climate change necessitates proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Hepburn Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Tourello?
The main climate risks in Tourello are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
How is climate change expected to impact Tourello?
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves in Tourello.
What can residents do to prepare for climate risks?
Residents can prepare by developing emergency plans, improving home resilience, and staying informed about weather warnings.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Hepburn Shire Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to climate impacts.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Tourello?
You can find more information on the Hepburn Shire Council website and the websites of state emergency services.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections